You can't be sure of anything when it comes to trading. The market can surprise you with all sorts of thing. all you can do is to figure out which possibility could be more probable.
Trading based on indicators doesn't lead you to profit. Trading is multidimensional, indicators play their own part. There are news events that can change everything and not care about the technical analysis we had been using.
One tip I always give in this case is that it is always better to look at the bigger picture. So if I am trading on 4 hour chart, I will also check the daily chart for finding the more valid support and resistance line.
They testify if your analysis had been right or wrong. Take RSI for example, you can always check it to see the strength of a current trend. You can use that knowledge to make a better decision.
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