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Real-Time Technical Analysis—Solid ECN

Solid ECN

Well-known member

Silver Analysis: Bullish Trends and Key Resistance Levels to Watch

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Solid ECN—The XAG/USD price became overbought after the bulls hit the $31 high. Subsequently, the chart formed a long-wick bearish candlestick pattern, which led to the price entering a consolidation phase. As of writing, the pair is testing the Ichimoku cloud as support, maintaining its position above the 25-day simple moving average.

From a technical standpoint, the primary trend is bullish, and the 23.6% Fibonacci level offers a decent opportunity to join the bull market. Another option to join the bullish market is to wait for a breakout above the immediate resistance at $31.8. If this scenario continues, the next bullish target will be $32.5.

Conversely, the bullish outlook should be canceled if the silver price dips below the 25-day SMA. The dip that began today could extend to the 38.2% Fibonacci level at $30.​
 

Pound Sterling Soars: Technical Analysis of GBP/USD
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Solid ECN—The GBP/USD currency pair broke above the 1.276 immediate resistance in today's trading session. This development in the pound sterling drove the relative strength index indicator into the overbought area, signifying that the market might reverse or initiate a consolidation phase.

From a technical standpoint, the road to 1.28 is paved, but for the bulls to achieve this target, the price must maintain its position above the ascending trendline.

The bullish outlook will be invalidated if the GBP/USD price drops below the ascending trendline. 1.267 is the next support level in this scenario, followed by 1.263.​
 

NZD/USD - Entry Points and Bullish Targets

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Solid ECN—The NZD/USD currency pair broke above the immediate support at 0.6139, and as of writing, it is trading at approximately at 0.616. The RSI indicator is becoming overbought, indicating that the uptrend might ease and the market will likely experience a consolidation phase.

From a technical standpoint, the overbought RSI could lead the U.S. Dollar to erase some of its recent losses. Hence, if the price dips to the ascending trendline, this level around 0.613 can provide a decent entry point to join the bullish momentum. In this scenario, the next bullish target should be set at 0.621.

Conversely, if the NZD/USD dips below the ascending trendline, the initial support level will be 0.608, followed by the secondary support level at 0.603.​
 

USD/CHF Eyes Bullish Reversal Above Key Resistance

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Solid ECN—The USD/CHF currency pair bounced from the 38.2% Fibonacci support level at $0.909. As of writing, the pair is targeting the 23.6% Fibonacci level at $0.911. The RSI value is increasing and moving away from the oversold area, indicating that the market trend could shift from a bearish to a bullish market. However, the bulls must overcome the $0.911 barrier.

From a technical standpoint, for the trend to reverse, the price must close and stabilize above $0.911. If this scenario unfolds, the next bullish target will be the middle band of the Bollinger.

On the flip side, if the price fails to close above the immediate resistance, the downtrend that began on May 23 will likely resume, initially testing the $0.909 level.​
 

GBP/USD Tests Key Support Amid Divergence Signals
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Solid ECN—The GBP/USD currency pair dipped from the $1.280 high today and is currently testing the $1.275 immediate support. The middle band of the Bollinger Bands and the May 22 high reinforce this support level.​
  • The Awesome Oscillator signals divergence, indicating a potential trend reversal or consolidation.​
  • The RSI indicator reads 56, approaching the 50 line, suggesting that the upward momentum is weakening.​
From a technical standpoint, while indicators suggest a bearish trend might be imminent, the price remains above the ascending trendline. The pair must stay above this trendline for the primary bullish trend to continue. If this occurs, the bulls' first target is $1.280, and with increased buying pressure, the price could move towards $1.289.

Conversely, if the GBP/USD price falls below the immediate support at 1.274, it will likely test the 1.267 support, followed by the $1.263 level.​
 

EUR/USD Outlook - May-29-2024

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Solid ECN—The EUR/USD pair is trading in an uptrend at approximately 1.084 in today's session. The pair bounced from the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.083, a support reinforced by the ascending trendline.​
  • The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 47, hovering below the median line, indicating that bearish momentum may resume. ​
  • The Awesome Oscillator is also declining toward the zero line, currently reading 0.0006, further suggesting a strengthening bearish momentum.​
From a technical perspective, the primary trend remains bullish, with the current bounce from 1.088 potentially representing a consolidation phase. The uptrend is likely to continue if the EUR/USD price remains above the ascending trendline and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.083. In this case, the next resistance levels are the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement at 1.087, followed by the May all-time high at 1.089.

Conversely, the bullish scenario would be invalidated if the pair dips below the ascending trendline and the 23.6% Fibonacci level. Should this occur, the next support level would be at 1.080, corresponding to the May 24 low.​
 

GBP/USD Testing Key Resistance Levels

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Solid ECN—The GBP/USD price bounced from the $1.267 support and is testing the $1.274 resistance. The RSI value is 53, above the median line, and the awesome oscillator bars are below zero, but the colors have turned green, and the value is on the rise. These developments in the technical indicators suggest that the trend might resume its bullish momentum.

Immediate resistance is at $1.274. For the bull market to resume, the GBP/USD must cross above this barrier. If this scenario comes into play, the road to retest the $1.280 resistance will be paved.

On the flip side, a failure to overcome the $1.274 barrier will likely result in the price declining, testing the immediate support at $1.267. If the selling pressure exceeds this level, the next bearish target could be $1.263.​
 

USD/JPY Faces Critical $156.5 Resistance

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Solid ECN—The USD/JPY currency pair is testing the $156.5 resistance level. This level is backed by the Ichimoku Cloud and the 50 SMA. Interestingly, the 4-hour chart has formed a hammer candlestick pattern, indicating that the price might bounce from this level. Meanwhile, the technical indicators show a sideways market.

From a technical perspective, USD/JPY is in a bull market. If the price holds above the immediate support at $156.5, it will likely rise to test the immediate resistance at $157.7.

Conversely, if the USD/JPY price dips below the immediate support, the next bearish target could be $155.6.​
 

Will GBP/USD Break Above $1.276?

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Solid ECN—The GBP/USD currency pair trades at about $1.273 in today's trading session, which is below the descending trendline and the $1.276 resistance. The RSI indicator signals a sideways market, but the Awesome Oscillator value is on the rise and about to close above the signal level.

From a technical standpoint, for the uptrend to resume, the bulls must cross above the $1.276 level. If this scenario plays out, the next bullish target will be the $1.280 resistance.

On the flip side, if the price remains below the descending trendline, the price will likely target $1.2681, followed by the lower line of the bearish flag.​
 

EURUSD Analysis

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Solid ECN—The EUR/USD price declined from the $1.088 ceiling, and as of writing, the currency pair trades at about $1.084, testing the May 30 high. The technical indicators give mixed signals. The relative strength index clings to the median line, signaling a low momentum market. Furthermore, the awesome oscillator's recent bar turned red, indicating that bearish momentum may resume.

The immediate resistance is at $1.085. From a technical standpoint, if the EUR/USD price holds below this resistance, the downtrend will likely resume, with the next bearish target at the May 30 low of $1.078.

Conversely, if the bulls cross above the $1.085 immediate resistance, the uptrend that began on May 30 will likely aim to exceed the $1.088 key resistance.​
 

AUD/USD Tests Immediate Support

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Solid ECN—The AUD/USD currency pair traded at $0.664 in today's trading session. As of this writing, it is testing immediate support at $0.663. The technical indicators in the 4-hour chart suggest the currency pair is trading sideways, and the market lacks significant momentum.

From a technical perspective, if the AUD/USD bulls maintain their position above the immediate support at $0.663, the price will likely aim for the key resistance level at $0.668. The next bullish target should be $0.671 if the buying pressure exceeds this.

Conversely, if the bears push the price below the $0.663 support and stabilize it below it, the new bearish momentum will likely head to the next support at $0.659.​
 

NZD/USD Tests Key Resistance at $0.616

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Solid ECN—The NZD/USD currency pair bounced from the $0.613 immediate support level, and as of this writing, it is testing the broken ascending trendline, the key resistance level at $0.616.

The technical indicators suggest a sideways market with a mild bullish trend.​
  • The RSI is above the median line with a value of 60. The indicator is not overbought, meaning it can hold the uptick momentum around the key resistance and aim for a breakout.​
  • The Awesome Oscillator is bearish with red bars, but they are above the zero line, indicating that the bullish momentum might lose its strength.​
From a technical standpoint, the key resistance level that paused the primary trend is $0.616. The NZD/USD price must close and stabilize above this level for the uptrend to resume. If this scenario comes into play, the next bullish target should be set at the $0.621 mark.

Bearish Scenario

Conversely, if the bulls fail to cross the key resistance, the currency pair's price will likely decline again, aiming for immediate support at $0.613. If the selling pressure increases, the next target will be $0.6086.​
 

USD/CNH Symmetrical Triangle: Key Levels

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Solid ECN—The USD/CNH currency pair traded at about $7.25 in today's trading session. The currency pair has been moving sideways inside the symmetrical triangle, approaching the apex in the last three trading sessions. As of writing, the bears are testing the ascending trendline, a level supported by the Ichimoku cloud.

Moreover, the technical indicators signal that bearish momentum should escalate. Therefore, from a technical standpoint, if the USD/CNH slips below $7.255, the next resistance level should be set at $7.247. The Ichimoku cloud supports this demand area; therefore, the market might bounce from it.

Additionally, traders and investors should monitor the price action around the symmetrical triangle. If the selling pressure exceeds the critical support level at $7.245, the next bearish target will be $7.236.

On the flip side, the primary trend is bullish, and for it to resume, bulls must close above the immediate resistance at $7.26. If this scenario comes into play, the next bullish target should be set at the May all-time high of $7.275.​
 

USD/JPY: Price Tests Ascending Trendline

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Solid ECN—The USD/JPY currency pair has declined from $157.7 and is testing the ascending trendline at $154.7. This demand area is in conjunction with the Ichimoku cloud and the April 9 high.

The technical indicators signify a bearish profile.​
  • The RSI value is 45, below 50, and declining.​
  • The Awesome Oscillator value is 1.04, hovering above the signal line but declining.​
From a technical standpoint, the primary trend is bullish. For the uptrend to resume, the bulls must maintain the price above the ascending trendline and the immediate support of $154.7. If this scenario unfolds, the USD/JPY will likely surge to retest the key resistance level at $157.7.

On the flip side, if the bears close the USD/JPY price below the ascending trendline and the immediate support, the next bearish target will likely be $151.9.​
 

USD/CHF Downtrend: Key Levels to Watch

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The USD/CHF downtrend gained momentum after breaking below the key resistance level at $0.90. As a result, the candles moved outside the lower Bollinger Band, indicating the market is oversold and may bounce back.​
  • The RSI is near the oversold area, showing a value of 31. This suggests a consolidation phase could be imminent.
From a technical perspective, traders and investors should avoid selling when the market is oversold. Instead, they should wait for the currency pair to consolidate near the upper key resistance at $0.90 and watch for bearish candlestick patterns. The downtrend will likely continue if such patterns appear, targeting $0.889 next.

Bullish Scenario

Conversely, the bearish outlook will be invalidated if USD/CHF stabilizes above the key resistance level of $0.90. The middle Bollinger Band will be the initial bullish target in this scenario, followed by resistance at $0.915.

Key Takeaways:

  • USD/CHF is currently oversold and may bounce.​
  • RSI value is at 31, indicating a possible consolidation.​
  • Wait for consolidation near $0.90 before making moves.​
  • If the price stays above $0.90, look for targets at the middle Bollinger Band and $0.915.​
 

USD/CNH Tests the Ichimoku Cloud with Bearish Outlook

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The USD/CNH currency pair broke below the ascending trendline and the 7.24 immediate support. As of writing, the currency pair trades at about 7.246, testing the Ichimoku cloud. The technical indicators signal a bearish trend resumption. The RSI (14) is below the median line, reading 39. The Awesome oscillator is below the signal line, with red bars and decreasing values.

From a technical perspective, the descending trendline is the key resistance to the downtrend. If the USD/CNH price hovers below the trendline, the next bearish target could be 7.236.

Conversely, the bearish outlook should be invalidated if the price crosses the descending trendline. If this scenario unfolds, the 7.275 ceiling will be retested.​
 

Gold Prices Surge Amid Speculation of Fed Rate Cuts

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Solid ECN—Gold prices climbed to $2,370 per ounce on Thursday, continuing the upward trend from the previous day. This increase came after U.S. economic reports suggested that the Federal Reserve could lower interest rates later this year.

Data from ADP revealed that U.S. private job growth in May was weaker than expected, and figures for the previous month were also adjusted downwards. This points to a slowing, yet still robust, job market.

Consequently, market players expect the Fed to implement two rate cuts this year, with a 70% probability of one occurring in September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. Investors now look forward to Friday's non-farm payroll figures to further evaluate the U.S. economy and gain insights into the Fed's rate cut plans.

In related news, the Bank of Canada reduced its primary interest rate on Wednesday, marking its first cut in four years, and the European Central Bank is likely to decrease rates later today.​
 

Navigating the Recent Silver Price Drop

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Solid ECN—Silver prices dropped below $30 per ounce after hitting an 11-year peak of $32 on May 28th. This decline comes as investors weigh major central banks' future interest rate policies and the demand for silver from key industrial users. In response to China's extensive use of silver in solar cell manufacturing, the US has implemented a 50% tariff on these imports.

This move aims to curb demand for panels made primarily in China and other Southeast Asian countries. Despite these tariffs, robust demand within China has helped prevent a more significant price drop. This resilience is highlighted by the recent activation of Xinjiang's world's largest solar farm.

Additionally, the expectation that central banks, including the ECB and BoC, will soon reduce interest rates has helped limit the fall in silver prices, as lower rates decrease the cost of holding non-income-generating assets like silver.​
 

Gold Declines Amid Overbought Stochastic Oscillator

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Solid ECN—The XAU/USD declined after the bulls broke from the 50% Fibonacci level in today's trading session. This development in the gold price has driven the stochastic oscillator into the overbought area. Therefore, the current phase should be considered as consolidation.

The primary trend is bullish, and the technical indicators point to the bullish wave resuming. However, for the uptrend to continue, the price must stabilize above the SMA 100 (blue line). If this scenario comes into play, the 38.2% Fibonacci level will be the next target.

Conversely, the oversold stochastic might escalate today's decline from $2,370. The immediate support is at $2,354. If this level is breached by the bears, the next bearish target will be the 61.8% Fibonacci level, which is backed by SMA 50 (red).​
 

NZD/USD Consolidation Phase Analysis

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Solid ECN—The NZD/USD currency pair trades in a range area between $0.617 immediate support and $0.621 immediate resistance. The technical indicators suggest low momentum in the market, but with a weak bearish bias. Therefore, the currency pair might break below the immediate resistance.

From a technical standpoint, for the uptrend to resume, the bulls must cross and stabilize the price above the $0.621 ceiling.

On the flip side, if the price dips below the immediate support at $0.617, the consolidation phase will likely extend to the key support level at $0.613. This level is backed by the Ichimoku cloud, which makes it a robust supply zone.​
 
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