Daily Market Forecast By Capitalcore

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Daily JAP225 H4 Chart Analysis Before CPI Release

The JAP225, also known as the Nikkei 225 Index, is a leading benchmark for the Japanese equity market, often dubbed the "Nikkei." It tracks the performance of 225 top-rated companies listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, reflecting investor sentiment around the Japanese economy. As traders gear up for today's economic data, all eyes are on Japan's Consumer Price Index (CPI) excluding fresh food, a key inflation gauge. The upcoming release holds weight, as stronger-than-expected figures could strengthen the JPY, potentially creating downward pressure on the Nikkei due to increased speculation around future monetary tightening by the Bank of Japan. Investors should closely monitor this data as it may influence capital flows and short-term movements in JAP225 price action, especially if the actual CPI surpasses forecasts.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the JAP225 (Nikkei 225) H4 chart, the price appears to be making a bullish correction following a strong bearish trend, forming a rising channel. The chart shows the price action shifting from the lower half of the Bollinger Bands to the upper half, currently trading between the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level (34,264) and the middle Bollinger Band, which is aligning closely with the 0.382 level — acting as a key pivot zone. Bollinger Bands are tightening, indicating a potential breakout in momentum. The MACD histogram is turning green with a narrowing signal line, suggesting the possibility of a bullish crossover. Additionally, the Williams %R is climbing toward the midpoint, moving out of oversold territory, further supporting short-term bullish sentiment. However, caution is warranted as price is still testing resistance levels, and the reaction to CPI news could determine the next leg in this recovery trend.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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GBPUSD Forex Trading Strategy with Key Technical Indicators

The GBP/USD forex pair, commonly known as "Cable," represents the exchange rate between the British Pound Sterling and the US Dollar. It is one of the most liquid and actively traded currency pairs globally. Fundamental analysis for GBPUSD today highlights key market-moving events related to the US Dollar: Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee's CNBC interview, which may provide insights into future monetary policy and interest rate directions, influencing USD strength. Additionally, the Conference Board Leading Indicators and the IMF meetings in Washington discussing global financial stability, monetary policies, and geopolitical risks could also impact USD volatility significantly, thus indirectly affecting the GBP-USD exchange rate through changes in market sentiment.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The technical analysis of the GBP USD H4 chart shows the pair is trading within the upper half of the Bollinger Bands, close to the upper band, indicating bullish price action momentum. Price is currently hovering near the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting possible short-term resistance or continuation points. The latest fractal is an upward fractal, placed above recent candles, hinting at a potential bearish reversal signal, cautioning traders of a possible retracement. MACD indicator currently shows declining bullish momentum as histogram bars shrink, suggesting weakening buying pressure, while the Stochastic RSI is in the overbought region, which might indicate an upcoming corrective move downward.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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NZDUSD Price Action Signals Bullish Continuation

The NZD-USD, known commonly as the "Kiwi" pair, represents the forex exchange rate between the New Zealand dollar and the US dollar. Traders closely follow NZD/USD due to its sensitivity to commodity markets and the economic performance of New Zealand and the United States. Fundamentally, today's focus for NZDUSD traders revolves around New Zealand's Overseas Merchandise Trade balance, which directly influences currency demand; a positive trade balance (exports exceeding imports) typically strengthens the Kiwi. Conversely, significant volatility could emerge from the U.S. as Federal Reserve officials Philip Jefferson, Patrick Harker, and Neel Kashkari speak about economic mobility, monetary policy, and global economic outlook. Hawkish tones from Fed speakers usually favor USD strength, potentially adding bearish pressure on NZD/USD.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the NZD USD H4 chart, the pair has exhibited bullish price action since breaking the significant resistance level at 0.58260. After retesting this level successfully, the price continues creating higher highs and higher lows, confirming an ongoing bullish trend. The price action currently remains supported by the 9-period SMA, indicating sustained upward momentum. However, traders should remain cautious as the RSI is close to the overbought region, signaling potential short-term corrective moves or consolidation phases. The Momentum (MOM) oscillator suggests positive momentum persists but is slightly waning, hinting that traders should be alert for potential momentum shifts or pullbacks before further bullish continuation.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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AUDUSD H4 Fundamental Analysis and Price Action

The AUDUSD forex pair, also known as the Aussie, represents the exchange rate between the Australian dollar and the US dollar and ranks among the most traded currency crosses globally, favored by price action traders tracking commodity-linked flows. Known colloquially as the Aussie, AUDUSD routinely features in EURUSD daily chart technical analysis discussions due to its sensitivity to global risk sentiment. With today’s Flash Manufacturing PMI (52.1) and Flash Services PMI (51.6) for AUD at 2:00 am, FOMC member Waller speaking at 4:35 pm, US Flash Manufacturing PMI (49.0 vs. 50.2) and Flash Services PMI (52.8 vs. 54.4) at 4:45 pm, plus US Crude Oil Inventories at 5:30 pm, the fundamental backdrop suggests that resilient Australian PMI prints could support the Aussie, yet any hawkish tilt from Waller or a surprise draw in oil stocks may bolster the US dollar and reshape the EURUSD daily chart fundamental analysis.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the AUDUSD H4 chart technical analysis, the price line has recently surged through a bullish wave and now confronts a strong resistance level coinciding with the flat Span B of the Ichimoku cloud. While the price sits above the cloud—an overall bullish signal—the flat cloud resistance implies a barrier to further gains. Moreover, volume has declined during the ascent, indicating weakening market conviction in the rally and pointing to a high probability of a bearish wave forming. Traders should watch for price action rejection at this resistance zone to confirm a potential reversal.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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US500 Price Action Near Upper Band

The US500 CFD, more widely known as the S&P 500 Index and nicknamed “the Spoos” in futures pits, is the marquee gauge of U.S. equity performance and is quoted in forex platforms against the U.S. dollar. Heading into today’s session, sentiment hinges on a heavy U.S. macro docket: Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack’s balance-sheet remarks, weekly Initial Jobless Claims, and the twin Durable Goods Orders prints will test the economy’s resilience, while Existing Home Sales, IMF meetings in Washington and the EIA’s natural-gas inventory update round out the risks. A hawkish tone from Hammack or upbeat orders data could strengthen the USD, lift Treasury yields and curb stock-market enthusiasm, whereas softer prints or dovish rhetoric may revive risk appetite—so traders should brace for volatility in US500 price action as technical and fundamental forces collide on the daily chart.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the H4 timeframe, the US500 remains in a short-term bullish trend: price punched through the mid-Bollinger Band, tagged the upper band near 5450, then pulled back with two modest red candles before today’s green bar reclaimed higher ground around 5420. The bands have started to widen, signalling expanding volatility, and the most recent fractal highs sit just above price, flagging nearby resistance. Beneath the candles, the MACD histogram has crossed back above zero and the signal lines are tilting positive, while RSI hovers at 60—bullish but shy of overbought territory. Collectively, this technical setup supports a cautiously constructive bias toward the 5500 area, provided the index holds above the 20-period moving average (mid-band) near 5310; a failure there would expose deeper retracement toward 5150.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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[Capitalcore]

GOLDUSD H4 Bollinger Band Price Action Outlook

GOLDUSD —quoted on trading platforms as XAU / USD and nicknamed the “yellow metal”—tracks the value of one troy ounce of gold against the U.S. dollar, making it a premier barometer for global risk sentiment and dollar liquidity. Today’s fundamental landscape is dominated by three USD-centric events: Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari’s Q&A, the final April University of Michigan consumer-sentiment and 1-year inflation-expectation releases, and wide-ranging IMF meetings in Washington. A hawkish tilt from Kashkari or stronger-than-forecast sentiment/inflation prints would likely firm Treasury yields and the greenback, pressuring XAU/USD; conversely, any dovish hints or soft data could revive safe-haven demand for gold ahead of weekend IMF headlines. Traders eyeing XAUUSD daily chart technical and fundamental analysis should therefore brace for headline-driven volatility in today’s price action.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the GOLD/USD H4 chart, price rebounded from the lower Bollinger Band near $3,280 after a swift pullback from the upper band record around $3,480. The latest candles show a mild bullish correction toward the 20-period middle band (~$3,350), which aligns with the rising 20-SMA and may act as immediate resistance. Momentum signals are stabilizing: the MACD histogram is contracting toward zero with its signal lines curling upward, hinting at a potential bullish crossover, while the RSI has recovered to 52, indicating improving—but still neutral—bullish momentum. A sustained close above the middle band and the recent swing high at $3,365 would expose the $3,420–$3,480 resistance zone; failure to clear that area could invite renewed selling back to $3,300 and the lower Bollinger Band. Watch how the upcoming USD news flow shapes this GOLD USD price action narrative on the four-hour timeframe.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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[Capitalcore]

UK100 H4 faces key resistance test

The UK100, also commonly known as the FTSE 100 Index or "Footsie", is a benchmark index that represents the 100 largest companies listed on the London Stock Exchange. It is heavily influenced by both the GBP (British Pound) and global risk sentiment, making it a key player in UK100 daily chart technical and fundamental analysis as well as in broader price action studies. Today, fundamental factors center around the Confederation of British Industry’s (CBI) Distributive Trades Survey, a leading indicator of consumer spending. Should the CBI report a stronger-than-forecast sales level, it would bolster GBP strength and potentially weigh on the UK100, as a stronger currency often pressures export-heavy companies listed in the index. Conversely, a weaker result could weaken the pound and support the UK100 via improved exporter competitiveness. Traders should pay close attention to the actual release compared to forecasts, as surprises here can trigger volatility and sharp price action moves in UK100 daily chart technical analysis.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Turning to the UK100 H4 chart analysis, after breaking the uptrend line, the price reacted to the middle line of the Bollinger Bands and is currently heading toward the upper band and retesting the broken trend line, with a significant horizontal resistance at the 8482.38 level ahead. The Stochastic Oscillator shows a slight bearish crossover around the 70 zone, suggesting a potential loss of bullish momentum in the short term. Meanwhile, the RSI is sitting at around 63, indicating that the asset is not yet overbought but is approaching elevated levels. In the context of UK100 daily chart technical and fundamental analysis, if the price fails to break above the resistance and the broken trend line, a correction might be expected. Otherwise, a successful break could signal a continuation of the bullish price action.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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[Capitalcore]

EUR/CHF H4 Chart Price Action Signals Bullish Reversal

The EUR-CHF, often referred to as the "Swissie," is a significant forex pair reflecting the economic relationship between the Eurozone and Switzerland. Traders frequently monitor this pair due to its reputation as a safe-haven currency pair, particularly during periods of market uncertainty. Fundamental analysis for today indicates potential volatility for EURCHF as multiple key economic data points from the Eurozone are due, including Consumer Sentiment, Consumer Price Index (CPI), Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Money Supply, and private sector loans. Positive results from these indicators, especially higher-than-forecast CPI and GDP, could bolster the Euro, indicating economic strength and leading to potential bullish momentum for EURCHF. Conversely, traders should closely monitor statements from Swiss National Bank (SNB) Vice-Chairman Antoine Martin, as a more hawkish stance may support CHF strength, creating downward pressure on the EURCHF.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The EURCHF H4 technical analysis shows that the price has broken above a previous downtrend line and initiated a robust upward trend, now approaching its uptrend support line. The multiple divergences observed between the price action and the stochastic oscillator confirm the bullish strength of this new trend. If the EURCHF price retests the ascending support line, it is likely to find support and rebound rather than breaking below, given the bullish signals from divergence. Additionally, the Stochastic indicator is oversold and poised for a bullish reversal, reinforcing the expectation of price support at current levels. The Williams %R indicator also indicates an oversold market condition, suggesting potential bullish price action in the near term, aligning with the overall upward trend sentiment. The Bollinger Bands suggest a volatility contraction, which could precede a strong price breakout. Currently, the price is near the lower band, indicating potential support at this level. Additionally, the Parabolic SAR has shifted below the price, signaling bullish momentum and supporting the potential continuation of the upward trend.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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[Capitalcore]

EURUSD Tests Key Resistance

The EURUSD forex pair, representing the exchange rate between the euro and US dollar, remains closely watched as traders assess recent economic developments and central bank signals. Currently trading near key resistance at 1.1420, EURUSD has gained roughly 10% since March due to rising fiscal spending in Germany and heightened global trade tensions, posing headwinds for Eurozone exporters. Conversely, the US dollar recently saw its worst monthly decline in two years, pressured by fears of stagflation and ongoing tariff concerns. Upcoming US economic data, alongside ECB monetary policy adjustments, will be critical in shaping near-term direction for EURUSD.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the EURUSD H4 chart technical analysis, the price has entered an extended period of consolidation, fluctuating within a significant support zone between approximately 1.13100 and 1.13000, clearly indicated by the Ichimoku cloud's lower boundary. Despite currently trading above the cloud—traditionally interpreted as bullish—the flatness of both the Span A and Span B lines within the cloud suggests weakening bullish momentum and reflects market indecision. The recent price action has struggled to establish clear directional momentum, repeatedly encountering resistance at intermediate levels. Additionally, trading volume has notably decreased throughout this sideways movement, underscoring diminishing market conviction and hinting at potential exhaustion among bullish traders. Given these indicators, there is an increasing probability that bearish pressure may strengthen, particularly if the price fails to sustain its current support. Traders should remain cautious and closely observe volume shifts alongside clear rejection or breakout patterns near the established support at around 1.13000 and the critical resistance zones at approximately 1.15000 and 1.15800 to determine the forthcoming directional bias.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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