Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex

[RoboForex Team]

USDJPY halts its rise: the external backdrop is improving

The USDJPY pair stalled near 157.81. Geopolitics is improving market sentiment. Discover more in our analysis for 6 May 2026.

USDJPY forecast: key takeaways

• The USDJPY pair paused its rise after three days of gains
• The market is factoring in improving global sentiment, but the risks for the yen remain high
• USDJPY forecast for 6 May 2026: 158.50

Fundamental analysis

The USDJPY rate reached 157.81 midweek, ending the Japanese yen's three-day decline. The currency received support from a weaker US dollar and lower oil prices amid signs of de-escalation in the Middle East.

The US confirmed that the ceasefire remains in place, that offensive operations have ended, and announced a pause in efforts to remove ships from the Strait of Hormuz. This is intended to buy time for a possible resumption of negotiations with Iran.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[RoboForex Team]

US 30 forecast: the index attempts to extend gains after a correction

The US 30 index continues to rise after a correction, retaining the potential to reach a new all-time high. The US 30 forecast for today is positive.

US 30 forecast: key takeaways

• Recent data: the Federal Reserve policy rate remained at 3.75%
• Market impact: the data is positive for the stock market

Fundamental analysis

The Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the interest rate steady at 3.75% can generally be viewed by the market as a neutral-to-mildly positive factor for the US 30 index, as the outcome fully matched both the forecast and the previous reading. For investors, this means no unexpected monetary policy tightening, reducing the risk of a sharp revaluation in large US equities.

This decision is crucial for the US 30, as many of the index companies operate in mature industries and depend on the overall health of consumer demand, investment, and the cost of capital.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[RoboForex Team]

AUDUSD gears up for a surge as the market awaits Nonfarm Payrolls

The AUDUSD rate is awaiting the release of US employment data, with the price currently testing the 0.7225 level. Find out more in our analysis for 8 May 2026.

AUDUSD forecast: key takeaways

• US Nonfarm Payrolls: previously at 178 thousand, projected at 65 thousand
• US unemployment rate: previously at 4.3%, projected at 4.3%
• AUDUSD forecast for 8 May 2026: 0.7320 and 0.7190

Fundamental analysis

Today’s AUDUSD forecast shows that the Australian dollar is completing its correction after reaching its highest level this year. On Friday morning, quotes are consolidating around 0.7225.

The main driver of today’s volatility is another wave of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the divergence in monetary policy between the Reserve Bank of Australia and the US Federal Reserve.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[RoboForex Team]

Gold (XAUUSD) weekly forecast: there is a basis for growth, but more details are needed

Gold (XAUUSD) enters the week of 11–15 May near 4,700 USD per ounce after rebounding amid falling oil prices. Support came from rising expectations of a deal between the US and Iran: the market is reacting to diplomatic signals and the potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.

Brent forecast: key takeaways

• Weekly performance: gold (XAUUSD) gained a foothold near 4,700 USD per ounce after rebounding mid-week
• Support and resistance: on the daily chart, the structure shifted from bullish to corrective after the reversal
• Fundamentals and outlook: the baseline scenario is sideways movement

Fundamental analysis

Gold (XAUUSD) ended last week near 4,700 USD per ounce after a strong mid-week rally. The market was bolstered by a sharp decline in oil prices amid hopes for a deal between the US and Iran. This reduced inflation risks and pressure from expectations of restrictive central bank policy.

Diplomacy remains the key driver. According to media reports, Washington sent Tehran via intermediaries a framework memorandum that could become a step towards ending the conflict and gradually reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Iran has already confirmed that it is reviewing the proposal, with a response expected in the coming days.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team