Friday 26 June 2026
High-Impact Economic Calendar – 28 June – 3 July 2026
Week Overview
This week focused on
China PMI data, Eurozone inflation, German and French economic releases, U.S. labor market data, Canadian GDP, and Japanese retail/industrial indicators. The strongest volatility windows were expected around
China NBS Manufacturing PMI, Eurozone CPI, U.S. ADP and NFP labor data, and Canada GDP.
Times in GMT
All events are
HIGH IMPACT for traders
Sunday, 28 Jun 2026
| Time | Country | Event | Forecast | Previous | Impact |
|---|
| 23:50 |  JP | Retail Sales MoM (MAY) | 0.7% | 1.3% | High |
Monday, 29 Jun 2026
| Time | Country | Event | Forecast | Previous | Impact |
|---|
| 14:30 |  US | Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (JUN) | 2 | 0.4 | High |
| 23:30 | JP | Unemployment Rate (MAY) | 2.5% | 2.5% | High |
| 23:50 | JP | Industrial Production MoM Prel (MAY) | 0.3% | 0.5% | High |
Tuesday, 30 Jun 2026
| Time | Country | Event | Forecast | Previous | Impact |
|---|
| 01:30 |  CN | NBS Manufacturing PMI (JUN) | 50.3 | 50.0 | High |
| 01:30 |  AU | RBA Meeting Minutes | — | — | High |
| 06:00 |  DE | Retail Sales MoM (MAY) | 0.1% | -0.3% | High |
| 06:45 |  FR | PPI MoM (MAY) | 1.5% | -2.1% | High |
| 06:45 | FR | Inflation Rate MoM Prel (JUN) | 0.4% | 0.1% | High |
| 06:45 | FR | Inflation Rate YoY Prel (JUN) | 2.4% | 2.4% | High |
| 06:45 | FR | PPI YoY (MAY) | 4.6% | 2.1% | High |
| 07:55 | DE | Unemployment Rate (JUN) | 6.4% | 6.3% | High |
| 12:00 | DE | Inflation Rate YoY Prel (JUN) | 2.9% | 2.6% | High |
| 12:00 | DE | Inflation Rate MoM Prel (JUN) | 0.3% | -0.2% | High |
| 12:30 |  CA | GDP MoM (APR) | 0.4% | -0.1% | High |
| 13:45 | US | Chicago PMI (JUN) | 61.0 | 62.7 | High |
| 14:00 | US | CB Consumer Confidence (JUN) | 95.0 | 93.1 | High |
| 14:00 | US | JOLTS Job Openings (MAY) | 7.6M | 7.618M | High |
| 23:50 | JP | Tankan Large Non-Manufacturing Index (Q2) | 34 | 36 | High |
| 23:50 | JP | Tankan Large Manufacturers Index (Q2) | 13 | 17 | High |
Wednesday, 1 Jul 2026
| Time | Country | Event | Forecast | Previous | Impact |
|---|
| 01:30 | AU | Building Permits MoM Prel (MAY) | 4.5% | -3.4% | High |
| 01:45 | CN | RatingDog Manufacturing PMI (JUN) | 51.4 | 51.8 | High |
| 05:00 | JP | Consumer Confidence (JUN) | 32.0 | 33.6 | High |
| 06:30 |  CH | Retail Sales MoM (MAY) | -0.1% | 0.1% | High |
| 09:00 |  EA | Inflation Rate MoM Flash (JUN) | 0.3% | 0.1% | High |
| 09:00 | EA | Inflation Rate YoY Flash (JUN) | 3.2% | 3.2% | High |
| 09:00 | EA | Core Inflation Rate YoY Flash (JUN) | 2.6% | 2.6% | High |
| 09:00 | EA | CPI Flash (JUN) | 103.5 | 103.13 | High |
| 12:15 | US | ADP Employment Change (JUN) | 85K | 122K | High |
| 14:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing PMI (JUN) | 53.6 | 54.0 | High |
| 22:45 |  NZ | Building Permits MoM (MAY) | -6.3% | 10.9% | High |
Thursday, 2 Jul 2026
| Time | Country | Event | Forecast | Previous | Impact |
|---|
| 01:30 | AU | Balance of Trade (MAY) | A$1.5B | A$1.791B | High |
| 06:30 | CH | Inflation Rate YoY (JUN) | 0.7% | 0.6% | High |
| 09:00 | EA | Unemployment Rate (MAY) | 6.3% | 6.3% | High |
| 12:30 | US | Unemployment Rate (JUN) | 4.5% | 4.3% | High |
| 12:30 | US | Non-Farm Payrolls (JUN) | 90K | 172K | High |
| 12:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims (JUN/27) | 210K | 215K | High |
| 14:00 | US | Factory Orders MoM (MAY) | -1.7% | 4.8% | High |
Friday, 3 Jul 2026
| Time | Country | Event | Forecast | Previous | Impact |
|---|
| 06:45 | FR | Industrial Production MoM (MAY) | 0.5% | 0.1% | High |
Week Summary
This week’s main focus centered on
China manufacturing data, Eurozone inflation, U.S. labor market releases, and Canadian GDP, with the strongest expected volatility likely around
China NBS Manufacturing PMI,
U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls,
U.S. ADP Employment Change, and
Eurozone CPI Flash. Planning ahead for these high-impact releases can help prepare for potential volatility across currencies, commodities, stocks, and indices before the week unfolds.
Below is a chart illustrating how a high-impact U.S. labor data release affected XAU/USD on June 5, 2026, with price action shown on a 30-minute candlestick timeframe.
Friday 5 June 2026 U.S. Labour Data Release
U.S. job growth came in much stronger than expected in May, with nonfarm payrolls rising by 172,000 compared with the 80,000 forecast, while the unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%. Wage growth remained stable, with average hourly earnings increasing 0.3% for the month and 3.4% year-on-year, both in line with expectations. Job gains were broad, led by leisure and hospitality, local government, and health care, while prior months were also revised higher, reinforcing the view that the labor market remained resilient despite inflation and high energy prices. The strong report pushed Treasury yields higher and reduced expectations for near-term Federal Reserve rate cuts, leaving policymakers more likely to maintain a wait-and-see approach as they focused on inflation risks rather than labor market weakness.
Potential Profit Study
An entry on
XAU/USD at
4,465.07 with 1 standard lot would have required approximately
$893.01 in margin at
1:500 leverage. With
1:2000 leverage, the required margin would have decreased to around
$223.25.
The move from
4,465.07 down to the intraday low of
4,311.71 covered approximately
153.36 points. On a 1 standard lot position, this would represent a potential profit of around
$15,336 if the move was captured in the correct direction.
This example highlights the power of volatility during high-impact market releases. The full move did not need to be captured perfectly — even securing part of the price swing could have created a meaningful opportunity for those who had a clear strategy, managed risk effectively, and understood the impact of the underlying market catalyst.
Monday, 22 Jun 2026
GB
