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Canada Overnight Rate April 13 2022

JamesThatcher

Well-known member
Canada Overnight Rate April 13 2022.jpg

What does the data mean to the market?

Bank of Canada (BOC) governing council members come to a consensus on where to set the rate.

Traders watch interest rate changes closely as short term interest rates are the primary factor in currency valuation.

A higher than expected rate is positive/bullish for the CAD, while a lower than expected rate is negative/bearish for the CAD.


Historic deviations and their outcome

March 4 2020 A surprise cut by 0.75% however with the global pandemic taking hold around the world it was no surprise this only saw a 60 pip move.

See the report history here https://calendarapi.galaxysoftwarei...C0wMy0wNCUyMDE1OjAwOjAwLjA7cz1VU0RDQUQ7cj1NMQ





I will use forecasts of:

Interest Rate 1.00



Today's trade plan

Today we're forecast for a hike in the rate to 1.00%. The market has however priced in a further hike to 1.25%, but will they go further and hike to 1.50%? That would be the preferred trade however I'll also take a sell on only a small hike as Cad should drop off if they only hike to 1.00%


Tradable pairs

CADJPY
EURCAD
GBPCAD
USDCAD


Hope this helps but please do your own analysis!!

Good luck!!

James Thatcher

Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.
 
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