CHFJPY Daily Analysis

FXGlory Ltd

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CHFJPY analysis for 07.12.2023


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Time Zone: GMT +2
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)


Fundamental Analysis:


The CHFJPY currency pair represents the exchange rate between the Swiss Franc and the Japanese Yen, two currencies often viewed as safe havens during times of market uncertainty. Factors influencing this pair include the monetary policies of the Swiss National Bank and the Bank of Japan, geopolitical tensions, and global market sentiment. Investors should monitor the economic outlook of both Switzerland and Japan, including GDP growth, inflation rates, and trade balances, as these can significantly impact the currency pair's movements.


Price Action:

The price action on the H4 chart for CHFJPY indicates a volatile market with a recent bearish trend, as evidenced by the sequence of lower highs and lower lows. However, the formation of a "V" shape recovery suggests a possible reversal or a temporary pullback. The market has not made new lows beyond the previous significant dip, hinting at potential buyer interest at lower levels.


Key Technical Indicators:

RSI:
The Relative Strength Index is hovering around the 40 marks, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions, but rather a state of equilibrium with a slight bias towards bearish momentum.

Parabolic SAR: The positioning of the Parabolic SAR dots has recently shifted below the price bars in the last four periods, indicating a potential shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. This change suggests a possible easing of the prior downward trend, as the proximity and placement of the dots beneath the candles often signal a trend reversal or a weakening of the bearish pressure.


Support and Resistance:

Resistance:
Resistance can be seen at the recent highs near the 169.570 level, which has acted as a barrier to price advances in the recent past.

Support: The nearest support level is identifiable at the swing low around the 166.280 price level, where the market has shown buying interest.


Conclusion and Consideration:

The CHFJPY pair on the H4 chart has been experiencing bearish momentum, but the current price action and the proximity of the Parabolic SAR indicate a potential slowdown in bearish activity or a pending reversal. While the RSI does not show extreme conditions, it leans toward a bearish outlook. Traders should be cautious and consider both the technical indicators and upcoming fundamental events. The key support and resistance levels will be crucial for setting potential entry and exit points. As always, it is essential to factor in broader market sentiment and economic indicators from both nations when making trading decisions.


Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and it is crucial to conduct your research before making any investment decisions.


FXGlory
07.12.2023


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CHFJPY analysis for 14.12.2023
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Time Zone: GMT +2
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)


Fundamental Analysis:


The CHFJPY pair represents the exchange rate between the Swiss Franc and the Japanese Yen. Fundamental aspects that affect this currency pair include economic indicators from Switzerland and Japan, such as GDP growth rates, interest rate decisions by the Swiss National Bank and the Bank of Japan, and global risk sentiment. The Swiss Franc is often viewed as a safe-haven currency, which means it can appreciate during times of global economic uncertainty, while the Yen is influenced by Japan's economic policies and its role in global trade. Ongoing geopolitical events, trade relations, and market volatility are crucial elements to consider when analyzing CHFJPY.


Price Action:

Reviewing the H4 chart for CHFJPY, we observe a notable downtrend characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows. The recent price action indicates a strong bearish momentum as the pair has moved sharply below previous support levels, turning them into resistance.


Key Technical Indicators:

Bollinger Bands:
The price is trading near the lower Bollinger Band, indicating that the market may be in an oversold state, suggesting a potential pause or bounce in the downtrend.

Parabolic SAR: The last three dots of the Parabolic SAR are above the candles, confirming the ongoing downtrend and suggesting that the bearish sentiment prevails.

MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD histogram is below the baseline and decreasing, which indicates increasing bearish momentum. The separation between the MACD line and the signal line is widening, reinforcing the strength of the current bearish trend.


Support and Resistance:

Support:
The next significant support level is found at the previous low on the chart, which is around the 162.00 level.

Resistance: The recent pivot high now acts as resistance, around the 164.50 level.


Conclusion and Consideration:

The CHFJPY pair on the H4 timeframe is in a strong bearish trend, as indicated by the price action and confirmed by technical indicators such as the Bollinger Bands, Parabolic SAR, and MACD. Traders might look for potential short entries, keeping in mind the oversold conditions that could lead to a retracement. It is essential to monitor key economic releases from Switzerland and Japan, which could impact the currency pair. Risk management strategies should be employed, considering stop losses above recent resistance levels and taking profits near support zones.


Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. It's important to conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before trading.

FXGlory
14.12.2023

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