Daily Market Analytics - Forex

[FXOpen Trader]

USDJPY Technical Analysis – 25th DEC, 2025
USDJPY - USD/JPY’s climb to 156.07 on 25th December 2025 was less a breakout and more a reaffirmation of overhead resistance

USD/JPY Technical Analysis – 25th December 2025

On 25th December 2025, USD/JPY surged to a session high of 156.07, a level that emerged as a decisive resistance point within the pair’s ongoing recovery phase. The intraday candle was narrow bodied with extended upper shadows, a structure that conveyed exhaustion among buyers and highlighted the presence of defensive offers clustered around the 156.00 psychological threshold. This rejection at the highs underscored the market’s reluctance to extend gains further, suggesting that sellers were quietly re entering the market to cap upside momentum.

From a daily chart perspective, short term trend guidance from the 20 day moving average aligned near 155.40, cushioning the advance and acting as immediate support. The 50 day moving average, positioned at 154.20, was sloping upward, reinforcing medium term bullish bias. The 200 day moving average, anchored at 150.85, continued to signal a constructive long term outlook, confirming that the broader trend structure remained intact. Momentum gauges painted a mixed picture: Relative Strength readings gravitated toward 61, reflecting improving strength but nearing overbought territory, while MACD levels hovered marginally above zero, indicating that bullish undertones were present but lacked strong conviction.

On the four hour chart, the pair’s behaviour was more nuanced. Overbought signals emerged as stochastic readings climbed near 77, suggesting that upside momentum was stretched and a pullback was probable. Sellers defended the 156.00–156.10 ceiling, while support was defined at 155.40 and 154.80. Momentum flattened, underscoring indecision, yet the inability of buyers to push decisively higher revealed that bullish pressure was losing traction. Intraday volatility remained contained, with price oscillations narrowing into a consolidation band, a typical precursor to directional breakout attempts.

The weekly chart provided a broader lens. Since the September 2025 through near 147.50, USD/JPY has carved a sequence of higher lows and higher highs, a hallmark of sustained bullish structure. Volatility, measured by the Average True Range, hovered around 1.35, suggesting controlled swings within a directional bias that favoured buyers. Retracement mapping from the July 2025 peak of 160.25 to the September low of 147.50 identified key thresholds: the 38.2% marker at 152.40, the 50% retracement at 153.90, and the 61.8% retracement at 155.40. The 156.07 high coincided just above this 61.8% zone, underscoring its strategic importance as a technical checkpoint where sellers were expected to defend aggressively.

Market sentiment at this juncture was shaped by the interplay between corrective rebound attempts and longer term bullish bias. The rejection at 156.07 suggested that institutional flows were likely fading near retracement resistance, while retail positioning remained cautious given the proximity to medium term moving average support. The pair’s ability to hold above 155.40 was critical, as a sustained defense here would reinforce the bullish narrative and invite fresh buying interest.

Upside continuation requires a decisive break above 156.10, which would open the path toward 158.00 and potentially 160.25, aligning with prior swing highs and reinforcing the broader uptrend. Conversely, failure to hold 155.40 would validate a bearish extension toward 154.80 and possibly 153.90, levels that coincide with the 50% retracement and medium term moving average support. Until such a breakout occurs, range bound conditions between 155.40 and 156.10 are likely to dominate, offering tactical opportunities for short term traders while the longer term uptrend remains intact.

In summary, USD/JPY’s climb to 156.07 on 25th December 2025 was less a breakout and more a reaffirmation of overhead resistance. The confluence of moving average alignment, Fibonacci retracement context, and oscillator signals pointed to a market in consolidation, with sellers defending critical levels and preparing for the next directional move. The balance of evidence favoured stabilization and potential retracement lower, unless buyers could decisively clear the 156.10 barrier.

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Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check ...

 

[FXOpen Trader]

AUDUSD Technical Analysis – 26th DEC, 2025
AUDUSD – Upside continuation requires a decisive break above 0.6760, which would open the path toward 0.6820 and potentially 0.6890

AUD/USD Technical Analysis – 26th December 2025

On 26th December 2025, AUD/USD slipped to a session low of 0.6697, a level that emerged as a pivotal floor within the pair’s corrective sequence. The intraday candle was narrow bodied with extended lower shadows, a structure that conveyed exhaustion among sellers and highlighted the presence of defensive bids clustered around the 0.6700 psychological threshold. This rejection at the lows underscored the market’s reluctance to extend the decline further, suggesting that buyers were quietly re entering the market to stabilize price action.

From a daily chart perspective, short term trend guidance from the 20 day moving average aligned near 0.6725, cushioning the downside and acting as immediate overhead resistance. The 50 day moving average, positioned at 0.6800, maintained an upward slope, reinforcing medium term bullish bias despite the corrective pullback. The 200 day moving average, anchored at 0.6600, continued to signal a constructive long term outlook, confirming that the broader trend structure remained intact. Momentum gauges painted a mixed picture: Relative Strength readings gravitated toward 41, reflecting waning strength and neutral to bearish undertones, while MACD levels hovered marginally below zero, indicating consolidation rather than a decisive trend reversal.

On the four hour chart, the pair’s behaviour was more nuanced. Oversold signals emerged as stochastic readings dipped near 33, suggesting that downside momentum was stretched and a rebound was probable. Buyers defended the 0.6695–0.6700 floor, while resistance overhead was defined at 0.6725 and 0.6760. Momentum flattened, underscoring indecision, yet the inability of sellers to push decisively lower revealed that bearish pressure was losing traction. Intraday volatility remained contained, with price oscillations narrowing into a consolidation band, a typical precursor to directional breakout attempts.

The weekly chart provided a broader lens. Since the October 2025 through near 0.6280, AUD/USD has carved a sequence of higher lows and higher highs, a hallmark of sustained bullish structure. Volatility, measured by the Average True Range, hovered around 0.0070, suggesting controlled swings within a directional bias that favoured buyers. Retracement mapping from the July 2025 peak of 0.6890 to the October low of 0.6280 identified key thresholds: the 38.2% marker at 0.6510, the 50% retracement at 0.6585, and the 61.8% retracement at 0.6660. The 0.6697 low was positioned just above this 61.8% zone, underscoring its strategic importance as a technical checkpoint where buyers were expected to defend aggressively.

Market sentiment at this juncture was shaped by the interplay between corrective pressure and longer term bullish bias. The rejection at 0.6697 suggested that institutional flows were likely accumulating near retracement support, while retail positioning remained cautious given the proximity to medium term moving average resistance. The pair’s ability to hold above 0.6695 was critical, as a sustained defense here would reinforce the bullish narrative and invite fresh buying interest.

Upside continuation requires a decisive break above 0.6760, which would open the path toward 0.6820 and potentially 0.6890, aligning with prior swing highs and reinforcing the broader uptrend. Conversely, failure to hold 0.6695 would validate a bearish extension toward 0.6660 and possibly 0.6585, levels that coincide with the 61.8% retracement and medium term moving average support. Until such a breakout occurs, range bound conditions between 0.6695 and 0.6760 are likely to dominate, offering tactical opportunities for short term traders while the longer term uptrend remains intact.

In summary, AUD/USD’s dip to 0.6697 on 26th December 2025 was less a breakdown and more a reaffirmation of structural support. The confluence of Fibonacci retracement, moving average alignment, and oscillator signals pointed to a market in consolidation, with buyers defending critical levels and preparing for the next directional move. The balance of evidence favoured stabilization and potential recovery, provided the 0.6695 floor continued to hold firm.

#fxopen #forex #forexanalysis

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check ...

 

[FXOpen Trader]

EURCHF Technical Analysis – 26th DEC, 2025
EURCHF – EUR/CHF pushed higher to reach 0.9299, a level that acted as a tactical ceiling in the pair’s short term rebound.

EUR/CHF Technical Analysis – 26th December 2025

On 26th December 2025, EUR/CHF pushed higher to reach 0.9299, a level that acted as a tactical ceiling in the pair’s short term rebound. The candle structure was compact but carried elongated upper shadows, a clear indication that buying enthusiasm was fading as supply clustered near the 0.9300 psychological barrier. The rejection at this level reflected not just intraday profit taking but also the re emergence of sellers keen to defend resistance.

On the daily chart, the 20 day moving average was positioned around 0.9275, providing immediate support beneath the high. The 50 day average, sloping downward from 0.9350, reinforced medium term weakness, while the 200 day average at 0.9440 confirmed the longer term bearish bias. Momentum indicators hinted at caution: RSI readings hovered near 58, edging toward overbought territory, while MACD values were marginally positive but flattening, suggesting that upside strength was losing intensity.

Intraday dynamics on the four hour chart revealed stretched conditions. Stochastic oscillators climbed into the upper 70s, flagging overbought signals. Price action stalled as sellers defended the 0.9295–0.9300 zone, while support was layered at 0.9275 and 0.9240. The flattening momentum profile underscored indecision, with volatility compressing into a tight band — often a precursor to breakout attempts in either direction.

The weekly perspective provided broader context. Since the mid 2025 peak near 0.9660, EUR/CHF has been in a pronounced downtrend, carving lower highs and lower lows. Volatility, measured by the Average True Range, hovered around 0.0065, reflecting controlled but directional swings. Fibonacci retracement mapping from the November 2025 high at 0.9664 to the December low at 0.9271 highlighted key checkpoints: 38.2% at 0.9410, 50% at 0.9465, and 61.8% at 0.9520. The 0.9299 high sat well below these retracement markers, reinforcing its role as minor resistance within a broader bearish framework.

Sentiment at this juncture was shaped by the tension between short term rebound attempts and longer term downward bias. Institutional flows appeared to fade near minor resistance, while retail traders remained cautious given the proximity to stretched oscillator readings. The ability of the pair to sustain above 0.9275 was critical, as holding this level would preserve the corrective narrative and invite renewed buying interest.

Looking ahead, upside continuation hinges on a decisive break above 0.9350, which would unlock potential toward 0.9410 and 0.9465, aligning with Fibonacci retracement checkpoints. Conversely, a failure to defend 0.9275 would expose the pair to renewed selling pressure toward 0.9240 and 0.9200, levels that coincide with prior swing lows. Until a breakout materializes, range bound trading between 0.9275 and 0.9350 is likely to dominate, offering tactical opportunities for short term positioning while the longer term downtrend remains intact.

In summary, EUR/CHF’s climb to 0.9299 on 26th December 2025 was not a clean breakout but rather a reaffirmation of overhead resistance. The confluence of moving averages, Fibonacci retracement context, and momentum signals pointed to a market pausing at a critical juncture, with sellers defending supply and buyers awaiting confirmation for the next leg higher.

#fxopen #forex #forexanalysis

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check ...

 

[FXOpen Trader]

EURJPY Technical Analysis – 26th DEC, 2025
EURJPY – EUR/JPY’s climb to 184.42 on 26th December 2025 was not a clean breakout but rather a reaffirmation of overhead resistance

EUR/JPY Technical Analysis – 26th December 2025

During the trading session of 26th December 2025, EUR/JPY climbed to a high of 184.42, a level that stood out as a tactical ceiling in the pair’s ongoing bullish advance. The candle structure was compact but carried elongated upper shadows, signaling that buying enthusiasm was fading as supply clustered near the 184.40–184.50 psychological barrier. This rejection reflected not only intraday profit‑taking but also the re‑emergence of sellers keen to defend resistance after several sessions of steady appreciation.

On the daily chart, the short‑term trend remained constructive, with the 20‑day moving average positioned around 183.60, lending immediate support beneath the high. The 50‑day average, rising from 182.25, reinforced medium‑term bullish momentum, while the 200‑day average at 178.65 confirmed the longer‑term uptrend. Momentum indicators, however, hinted at caution: RSI readings hovered near 63, edging into overbought territory, while MACD values were positive but flattening, suggesting that upside strength was beginning to lose intensity.

Intraday dynamics on the four‑hour chart revealed stretched conditions. Stochastic oscillators climbed into the upper 70s, flagging overbought signals. Price action stalled as sellers defended the 184.40–184.50 zone, while support was layered at 183.60 and 182.90. The flattening momentum profile underscored indecision, with volatility compressing into a tight band — often a precursor to breakout attempts in either direction.

The weekly perspective provided broader context. Since the September 2025 through near 174.50, EUR/JPY has carved a sequence of higher lows and higher highs, underscoring the resilience of the bullish structure. Volatility, measured by the Average True Range, hovered around 1.55, reflecting controlled but directional swings. Fibonacci retracement mapping from the July 2025 peak at 189.40 to the September low at 174.50 highlighted key checkpoints: 38.2% at 180.20, 50% at 181.95, and 61.8% at 183.70. The 184.42 high sat just above this 61.8% marker, reinforcing its importance as a resistance zone where sellers were expected to regroup.

Sentiment at this juncture was shaped by the tension between short‑term overextension and longer‑term bullish conviction. Institutional flows appeared to fade near retracement resistance, while retail traders remained cautious given the proximity to stretched oscillator readings. The ability of the pair to sustain above 183.60 was critical, as holding this level would preserve the bullish narrative and invite renewed buying interest.

Looking ahead, upside continuation hinges on a decisive break above 184.50, which would unlock potential toward 186.00 and ultimately 188.00, aligning with prior swing highs. Conversely, a failure to defend 183.60 would expose the pair to corrective pressure toward 182.90 and 181.95, levels that coincide with retracement support and medium‑term averages. Until a breakout materializes, range‑bound trading between 183.60 and 184.50 is likely to dominate, offering tactical opportunities for short‑term positioning while the broader uptrend remains intact.

In summary, EUR/JPY’s climb to 184.42 on 26th December 2025 was not a clean breakout but rather a reaffirmation of overhead resistance. The confluence of moving averages, Fibonacci retracement, and momentum signals pointed to a market pausing at a critical juncture, with sellers defending supply and buyers awaiting confirmation for the next leg higher.

#fxopen #forex #forexanalysis

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check ...

 

[FXOpen Trader]

EURUSD Technical Analysis – 26th DEC, 2025
EURUSD – EUR/USD’s dip to 1.1761 on 26th December 2025 was not a clean breakdown but rather a reaffirmation of structural support

EUR/USD Technical Analysis – 26th December 2025

On 26th December 2025, EUR/USD slipped to a low of 1.1761, a level that emerged as a tactical floor within the pair’s corrective sequence. The candle structure was narrow bodied but carried elongated lower shadows, signalling exhaustion among sellers and highlighting the presence of defensive bids clustered around the 1.1760 psychological threshold. This rejection at the lows reflected not only intraday stabilization but also the re emergence of buyers keen to defend support after several sessions of steady pressure.

On the daily chart, the short term trend remained constructive, with the 20 day moving average positioned around 1.1785, lending immediate support beneath the low. The 50 day average, rising from 1.1715, reinforced medium term bullish momentum, while the 200 day average at 1.1590 confirmed the longer term uptrend. Momentum indicators, however, hinted at caution: RSI readings hovered near 42, edging toward neutral to bearish territory, while MACD values were marginally negative but flattening, suggesting that downside strength was beginning to lose intensity.

Intraday dynamics on the four hour chart revealed stretched conditions. Stochastic oscillators dipped into the low 30s, flagging oversold signals. Price action stalled as buyers defended the 1.1760–1.1765 zone, while resistance was layered at 1.1785 and 1.1820. The flattening momentum profile underscored indecision, with volatility compressing into a tight band — often a precursor to breakout attempts in either direction.

The weekly perspective provided broader context. Since the October 2025 through near 1.1450, EUR/USD has carved a sequence of higher lows and higher highs, underscoring the resilience of the bullish structure. Volatility, measured by the Average True Range, hovered around 0.0065, reflecting controlled but directional swings. Fibonacci retracement mapping from the July 2025 peak at 1.1975 to the October low at 1.1450 highlighted key checkpoints: 38.2% at 1.1655, 50% at 1.1715, and 61.8% at 1.1775. The 1.1761 low sat just above this 61.8% marker, reinforcing its importance as a support zone where buyers were expected to regroup.

Sentiment at this juncture was shaped by the tension between short term corrective pressure and longer term bullish conviction. Institutional flows appeared to accumulate near retracement support, while retail traders remained cautious given the proximity to stretched oscillator readings. The ability of the pair to sustain above 1.1760 was critical, as holding this level would preserve the bullish narrative and invite renewed buying interest.

Looking ahead, upside continuation hinges on a decisive break above 1.1820, which would unlock potential toward 1.1900 and ultimately 1.1975, aligning with prior swing highs. Conversely, a failure to defend 1.1760 would expose the pair to corrective pressure toward 1.1715 and 1.1655, levels that coincide with retracement support and medium term averages. Until a breakout materializes, range bound trading between 1.1760 and 1.1820 is likely to dominate, offering tactical opportunities for short term positioning while the broader uptrend remains intact.

In summary, EUR/USD’s dip to 1.1761 on 26th December 2025 was not a clean breakdown but rather a reaffirmation of structural support. The confluence of moving averages, Fibonacci retracement, and momentum signals pointed to a market pausing at a critical juncture, with buyers defending demand and sellers awaiting confirmation for the next directional move.

#fxopen #forex #forexanalysis

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check ...

 

[FXOpen Trader]

GBPJPY Technical Analysis – 26th DEC, 2025
GBPJPY – GBP/JPY’s climb to 211.50 on 26th December 2025 was not a clean breakout but rather a reaffirmation of overhead resistance

GBP/JPY Technical Analysis – 26th December 2025

On 26th December 2025, GBP/JPY advanced to a high of 211.50, a level that emerged as a tactical ceiling within the pair’s ongoing bullish trajectory. The candle structure was compact but carried elongated upper shadows, signalling that buying enthusiasm was fading as supply clustered near the 211.50 psychological barrier. This rejection reflected not only intraday profit taking but also the re emergence of sellers keen to defend resistance after several sessions of steady appreciation.

On the daily chart, the short term trend remained constructive, with the 20 day moving average positioned around 210.70, lending immediate support beneath the high. The 50 day average, rising from 209.20, reinforced medium term bullish momentum, while the 200 day average at 205.60 confirmed the longer term uptrend. Momentum indicators, however, hinted at caution: RSI readings hovered near 64, edging into overbought territory, while MACD values were positive but flattening, suggesting that upside strength was beginning to lose intensity.

Intraday dynamics on the four hour chart revealed stretched conditions. Stochastic oscillators climbed into the upper 70s, flagging overbought signals. Price action stalled as sellers defended the 211.40–211.50 zone, while support was layered at 210.70 and 209.90. The flattening momentum profile underscored indecision, with volatility compressing into a tight band — often a precursor to breakout attempts in either direction.

The weekly perspective provided broader context. Since the September 2025 through near 198.50, GBP/JPY has carved a sequence of higher lows and higher highs, underscoring the resilience of the bullish structure. Volatility, measured by the Average True Range, hovered around 1.85, reflecting controlled but directional swings. Fibonacci retracement mapping from the July 2025 peak at 216.80 to the September low at 198.50 highlighted key checkpoints: 38.2% at 205.50, 50% at 207.65, and 61.8% at 209.80. The 211.50 high sat just above this 61.8% marker, reinforcing its importance as a resistance zone where sellers were expected to regroup.

Sentiment at this juncture was shaped by the tension between short term overextension and longer term bullish conviction. Institutional flows appeared to fade near retracement resistance, while retail traders remained cautious given the proximity to stretched oscillator readings. The ability of the pair to sustain above 210.70 was critical, as holding this level would preserve the bullish narrative and invite renewed buying interest.

Looking ahead, upside continuation hinges on a decisive break above 211.50, which would unlock potential toward 213.40 and ultimately 216.80, aligning with prior swing highs. Conversely, a failure to defend 210.70 would expose the pair to corrective pressure toward 209.90 and 207.65, levels that coincide with retracement support and medium term averages. Until a breakout materializes, range bound trading between 210.70 and 211.50 is likely to dominate, offering tactical opportunities for short term positioning while the broader uptrend remains intact.

In summary, GBP/JPY’s climb to 211.50 on 26th December 2025 was not a clean breakout but rather a reaffirmation of overhead resistance. The confluence of moving averages, Fibonacci retracement, and momentum signals pointed to a market pausing at a critical juncture, with sellers defending supply and buyers awaiting confirmation for the next leg higher.

#fxopen #forex #forexanalysis

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check ...

 

[FXOpen Trader]

GBPUSD Technical Analysis – 26th DEC, 2025
GBPUSD – GBP/USD’s climb to 1.3527 on 26th December 2025 was not a clean breakout but rather a reaffirmation of overhead resistance

GBP/USD Technical Analysis – 26th December 2025

On 26th December 2025, GBP/USD advanced to a high of 1.3527, a level that emerged as a tactical ceiling within the pair’s ongoing recovery phase. The candle structure was compact but carried elongated upper shadows, signalling that buying enthusiasm was fading as supply clustered near the 1.3530 psychological barrier. This rejection reflected not only intraday profit taking but also the re emergence of sellers keen to defend resistance after several sessions of steady appreciation.

On the daily chart, the short term trend remained constructive, with the 20 day moving average positioned around 1.3495, lending immediate support beneath the high. The 50 day average, rising from 1.3420, reinforced medium term bullish momentum, while the 200 day average at 1.3360 confirmed the longer term uptrend. Momentum indicators, however, hinted at caution: RSI readings hovered near 63, edging into overbought territory, while MACD values were positive but flattening, suggesting that upside strength was beginning to lose intensity.

Intraday dynamics on the four hour chart revealed stretched conditions. Stochastic oscillators climbed into the upper 70s, flagging overbought signals. Price action stalled as sellers defended the 1.3525–1.3530 zone, while support was layered at 1.3495 and 1.3460. The flattening momentum profile underscored indecision, with volatility compressing into a tight band — often a precursor to breakout attempts in either direction.

The weekly perspective provided broader context. Since the October 2025 through near 1.3100, GBP/USD has carved a sequence of higher lows and higher highs, underscoring the resilience of the bullish structure. Volatility, measured by the Average True Range, hovered around 0.0090, reflecting controlled but directional swings. Fibonacci retracement mapping from the July 2025 peak at 1.3750 to the October low at 1.3100 highlighted key checkpoints: 38.2% at 1.3345, 50% at 1.3425, and 61.8% at 1.3505. The 1.3527 high sat just above this 61.8% marker, reinforcing its importance as a resistance zone where sellers were expected to regroup.

Sentiment at this juncture was shaped by the tension between short term overextension and longer term bullish conviction. Institutional flows appeared to fade near retracement resistance, while retail traders remained cautious given the proximity to stretched oscillator readings. The ability of the pair to sustain above 1.3495 was critical, as holding this level would preserve the bullish narrative and invite renewed buying interest.

Looking ahead, upside continuation hinges on a decisive break above 1.3530, which would unlock potential toward 1.3620 and ultimately 1.3750, aligning with prior swing highs. Conversely, a failure to defend 1.3495 would expose the pair to corrective pressure toward 1.3425 and 1.3345, levels that coincide with retracement support and medium term averages. Until a breakout materializes, range bound trading between 1.3495 and 1.3530 is likely to dominate, offering tactical opportunities for short term positioning while the broader uptrend remains intact.

In summary, GBP/USD’s climb to 1.3527 on 26th December 2025 was not a clean breakout but rather a reaffirmation of overhead resistance. The confluence of moving averages, Fibonacci retracement, and momentum signals pointed to a market pausing at a critical juncture, with sellers defending supply and buyers awaiting confirmation for the next leg higher.

#fxopen #forex #forexanalysis

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check ...

 

[FXOpen Trader]

NZDUSD Technical Analysis – 26th DEC, 2025
NZDUSD – NZD/USD’s climb to 0.5842 on 26th December 2025 was less a breakout and more a test of structural resistance.

NZD/USD Technical Analysis – 26th December 2025

On 26th December 2025, NZD/USD pressed higher to reach 0.5842, a level that marked the upper boundary of its holiday session rally. The candle itself was broad ranged, with a pronounced rejection wick at the top, illustrating how buyers initially drove momentum but were met with firm supply as the market approached the 0.5840–0.5850 psychological zone. This price action conveyed a tug of war: enthusiasm from bulls colliding with defensive offers that capped the advance.

The daily chart showed that the short term structure remained supportive, with the 20 day moving average hovering near 0.5820 and acting as a cushion beneath the high. The 50 day average, rising from 0.5785, reinforced medium term strength, while the 200 day average at 0.5630 confirmed the broader uptrend. Momentum readings, however, hinted at fatigue: RSI values edged into the low 60s, suggesting stretched conditions, while MACD lines were positive but beginning to flatten, a sign that the rally was losing some of its drive.

On the four hour chart, intraday dynamics revealed a market that had run hot. Stochastic oscillators pushed into the upper 70s, flashing overbought signals. Price stalled as sellers defended the 0.5840–0.5845 band, while immediate support was layered at 0.5820 and 0.5795. Volatility compressed into a narrowing range, often a precursor to breakout attempts, but the balance of flows suggested hesitation rather than conviction.

The weekly perspective added depth. Since the October 2025 low near 0.5520, NZD/USD has carved a rising channel, with successive higher lows confirming the resilience of the bullish framework. Average True Range readings around 0.0058 reflected controlled but directional swings. Fibonacci retracement mapping from the July 2025 peak at 0.6050 to the October trough at 0.5520 highlighted key checkpoints: 38.2% at 0.5725, 50% at 0.5785, and 61.8% at 0.5845. The 0.5842 high aligned almost perfectly with this 61.8% marker, underscoring its role as a decisive resistance zone where sellers were expected to regroup.

Sentiment at this juncture was shaped by the tension between short term overextension and longer term bullish conviction. Institutional flows appeared to fade near retracement resistance, while retail positioning remained cautious given the proximity to stretched oscillator readings. The ability of the pair to sustain above 0.5820 was critical, as holding this level would preserve the bullish narrative and invite renewed buying interest.

Looking forward, continuation of the rally requires a clean break above 0.5845, which would open the path toward 0.5900 and eventually 0.6050, aligning with prior swing highs. Conversely, a slip back below 0.5820 would expose the pair to corrective pressure toward 0.5785 and 0.5725, levels that coincide with retracement support and medium term averages. Until a decisive breakout occurs, range bound trading between 0.5820 and 0.5845 is likely to dominate, offering tactical opportunities for short term traders while the broader uptrend remains intact.

In summary, NZD/USD’s climb to 0.5842 on 26th December 2025 was less a breakout and more a test of structural resistance. The interplay of moving averages, Fibonacci retracement, and momentum signals pointed to a market pausing at a critical juncture, with sellers defending overhead supply and buyers awaiting confirmation for the next leg higher.

#fxopen #forex #forexanalysis

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check ...

 

[FXOpen Trader]

USDCAD Technical Analysis – 26th DEC, 2025
USDCAD – USD/CAD slipped to a low of 1.3642, a level that defined the lower boundary of its holiday session trading range

USD/CAD Technical Analysis – 26th December 2025

On 26th December 2025, USD/CAD slipped to a low of 1.3642, a level that defined the lower boundary of its holiday session trading range. The candle structure was broad ranged with a pronounced rejection wick at the base, illustrating how sellers initially pressed momentum but were met with firm demand as the market approached the 1.3640 psychological zone. This price action conveyed a clear narrative: bearish flows lost traction as buyers stepped in to absorb supply, stabilizing the decline.

On the daily chart, the short term structure showed signs of resilience. The 20 day moving average hovered near 1.3665, cushioning the downside and acting as immediate support. The 50 day average, positioned around 1.3720, was sloping gently upward, reinforcing medium term bullish undertones. The 200 day average at 1.3575 confirmed that the longer term framework remained constructive, with the broader trend still favouring buyers despite the corrective dip. Momentum readings reflected caution: RSI values hovered near 43, leaning toward neutral to bearish territory, while MACD lines were marginally negative but beginning to flatten, suggesting that downside strength was losing intensity.

Intraday dynamics on the four hour chart revealed stretched conditions. Stochastic oscillators dipped into the low 30s, flashing oversold signals. Price stalled as buyers defended the 1.3640–1.3645 band, while resistance was layered at 1.3665 and 1.3690. Volatility compressed into a narrowing corridor, often a precursor to breakout attempts, but the balance of flows suggested hesitation rather than conviction.

The weekly perspective provided broader context. Since the October 2025 through near 1.3350, USD/CAD has carved a rising channel, with successive higher lows confirming the resilience of the bullish framework. Average True Range readings around 0.0075 reflected controlled but directional swings. Fibonacci retracement mapping from the July 2025 peak at 1.3860 to the October low at 1.3350 highlighted key checkpoints: 38.2% at 1.3545, 50% at 1.3605, and 61.8% at 1.3665. The 1.3642 low aligned closely with the 50%–61.8% retracement zone, underscoring its importance as a support area where buyers were expected to regroup.

Sentiment at this juncture was shaped by the tension between short term corrective pressure and longer term bullish conviction. Institutional flows appeared to accumulate near retracement support, while retail positioning remained cautious given the proximity to stretched oscillator readings. The ability of the pair to sustain above 1.3640 was critical, as holding this level would preserve the bullish narrative and invite renewed buying interest.
Looking forward, continuation of the recovery requires a clean break above 1.3665, which would open the path toward 1.3720 and eventually 1.3860, aligning with prior swing highs. Conversely, a slip back below 1.3640 would expose the pair to corrective pressure toward 1.3605 and 1.3545, levels that coincide with retracement support and medium term averages. Until a decisive breakout occurs, range bound trading between 1.3640 and 1.3665 is likely to dominate, offering tactical opportunities for short term traders while the broader uptrend remains intact.

In summary, USD/CAD’s dip to 1.3642 on 26th December 2025 was less a breakdown and more a reaffirmation of structural support. The interplay of moving averages, Fibonacci retracement, and momentum signals pointed to a market pausing at a critical juncture, with buyers defending demand and sellers awaiting confirmation for the next directional move.

#fxopen #forex #forexanalysis

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check ...

 

[FXOpen Trader]

USDCHF Technical Analysis – 26th DEC, 2025
USDCHF – USD/CHF’s climb to 0.7902 on 26th December 2025 was not a clean breakout but rather a reaffirmation of overhead resistance

USD/CHF Technical Analysis – 26th December 2025

On 26th December 2025, USD/CHF advanced to a high of 0.7902, a level that marked the upper boundary of its holiday session rally. The candle structure was moderately ranged with a pronounced rejection wick at the top, illustrating how buyers initially drove momentum but were met with firm supply as the market approached the 0.7900 psychological zone. This price action conveyed a tug of war: bullish enthusiasm colliding with defensive offers that capped the advance.

On the daily chart, the short term structure remained supportive, with the 20 day moving average hovering near 0.7870 and acting as a cushion beneath the high. The 50 day average, positioned around 0.7940, was sloping downward, reinforcing medium term weakness despite the rebound attempt. The 200 day average at 0.8130 confirmed that the longer term framework remained bearish, with the broader trend still favouring sellers. Momentum readings reflected caution: RSI values hovered near 59, edging toward overbought territory, while MACD lines were marginally positive but beginning to flatten, suggesting that upside strength was losing intensity.

Intraday dynamics on the four hour chart revealed stretched conditions. Stochastic oscillators climbed into the upper 70s, flashing overbought signals. Price stalled as sellers defended the 0.7900–0.7905 band, while immediate support was layered at 0.7870 and 0.7835. Volatility compressed into a narrowing corridor, often a precursor to breakout attempts, but the balance of flows suggested hesitation rather than conviction.

The weekly perspective provided broader context. Since the August 2025 peak near 0.8520, USD/CHF has carved a descending sequence of lower highs and lower lows, underscoring the resilience of the bearish framework. Average True Range readings around 0.0060 reflected controlled but directional swings. Fibonacci retracement mapping from the August 2025 high at 0.8520 to the December low at 0.7860 highlighted key checkpoints: 38.2% at 0.8110, 50% at 0.8190, and 61.8% at 0.8270. The 0.7902 high sat well below these retracement markers, reinforcing its role as minor resistance within a broader downtrend.

Sentiment at this juncture was shaped by the tension between short term rebound attempts and longer term bearish conviction. Institutional flows appeared to fade near minor resistance, while retail positioning remained cautious given the proximity to stretched oscillator readings. The ability of the pair to sustain above 0.7870 was critical, as holding this level would preserve the corrective narrative and invite renewed buying interest.

Looking forward, continuation of the rally requires a clean break above 0.7940, which would open the path toward 0.8110 and eventually 0.8190, aligning with Fibonacci retracement checkpoints. Conversely, a slip back below 0.7870 would expose the pair to corrective pressure toward 0.7835 and 0.7760, levels that coincide with prior swing lows and medium term support. Until a decisive breakout occurs, range bound trading between 0.7870 and 0.7940 is likely to dominate, offering tactical opportunities for short term traders while the broader downtrend remains intact.

In summary, USD/CHF’s climb to 0.7902 on 26th December 2025 was not a clean breakout but rather a reaffirmation of overhead resistance. The interplay of moving averages, Fibonacci retracement, and momentum signals pointed to a market pausing at a critical juncture, with sellers defending supply and buyers awaiting confirmation for the next directional move.

#fxopen #forex #forexanalysis

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check ...

 

[FXOpen Trader]

USDJPY Technical Analysis – 26th DEC, 2025
USDJPY - USD/JPY’s climb to 156.72 on 26th December 2025 was not a clean breakout but rather a reaffirmation of overhead resistance

USD/JPY Technical Analysis – 26th December 2025

On 26th December 2025, USD/JPY climbed to a high of 156.72, a level that underscored the pair’s continued bullish momentum but simultaneously highlighted the presence of firm supply near the 156.70–156.80 zone. The candle structure was moderately extended with a pronounced upper wick, reflecting how buyers initially drove price higher but were met with resistance as sellers re entered to cap the advance. This rejection suggested that while the broader trend remained constructive, intraday enthusiasm was beginning to fade.

On the daily chart, the short term structure remained supportive, with the 20 day moving average positioned around 155.90, cushioning the advance. The 50 day average, rising from 154.40, reinforced medium term bullish momentum, while the 200 day average at 150.90 confirmed the longer term uptrend. Momentum indicators hinted at caution: RSI readings hovered near 64, edging into overbought territory, while MACD values were positive but flattening, suggesting that upside strength was beginning to lose intensity.

Intraday dynamics on the four hour chart revealed stretched conditions. Stochastic oscillators pushed into the upper 70s, flashing overbought signals. Price stalled as sellers defended the 156.70–156.80 band, while immediate support was layered at 155.90 and 155.20. Volatility compressed into a narrowing corridor, often a precursor to breakout attempts, but the balance of flows suggested hesitation rather than conviction.

The weekly perspective provided broader context. Since the September 2025 through near 147.50, USD/JPY has carved a rising channel, with successive higher lows confirming the resilience of the bullish framework. Average True Range readings around 1.40 reflected controlled but directional swings. Fibonacci retracement mapping from the July 2025 peak at 160.25 to the September low at 147.50 highlighted key checkpoints: 38.2% at 152.40, 50% at 153.90, and 61.8% at 155.40. The 156.72 high sat just above this 61.8% marker, reinforcing its importance as a resistance zone where sellers were expected to regroup.

Sentiment at this juncture was shaped by the tension between short term overextension and longer term bullish conviction. Institutional flows appeared to fade near retracement resistance, while retail positioning remained cautious given the proximity to stretched oscillator readings. The ability of the pair to sustain above 155.90 was critical, as holding this level would preserve the bullish narrative and invite renewed buying interest.

Looking forward, continuation of the rally requires a clean break above 156.80, which would open the path toward 158.00 and eventually 160.25, aligning with prior swing highs. Conversely, a slip back below 155.90 would expose the pair to corrective pressure toward 155.20 and 153.90, levels that coincide with retracement support and medium term averages. Until a decisive breakout occurs, range bound trading between 155.90 and 156.80 is likely to dominate, offering tactical opportunities for short term traders while the broader uptrend remains intact.

In summary, USD/JPY’s climb to 156.72 on 26th December 2025 was not a clean breakout but rather a reaffirmation of overhead resistance. The interplay of moving averages, Fibonacci retracement, and momentum signals pointed to a market pausing at a critical juncture, with sellers defending supply and buyers awaiting confirmation for the next leg higher.

#fxopen #forex #forexanalysis

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check ...

 

[FXOpen Trader]

USDJPY Technical Analysis – 26th DEC, 2025
USDJPY - USD/JPY’s climb to 156.72 on 26th December 2025 was not a clean breakout but rather a reaffirmation of overhead resistance

USD/JPY Technical Analysis – 26th December 2025

On 26th December 2025, USD/JPY climbed to a high of 156.72, a level that underscored the pair’s continued bullish momentum but simultaneously highlighted the presence of firm supply near the 156.70–156.80 zone. The candle structure was moderately extended with a pronounced upper wick, reflecting how buyers initially drove price higher but were met with resistance as sellers re entered to cap the advance. This rejection suggested that while the broader trend remained constructive, intraday enthusiasm was beginning to fade.

On the daily chart, the short term structure remained supportive, with the 20 day moving average positioned around 155.90, cushioning the advance. The 50 day average, rising from 154.40, reinforced medium term bullish momentum, while the 200 day average at 150.90 confirmed the longer term uptrend. Momentum indicators hinted at caution: RSI readings hovered near 64, edging into overbought territory, while MACD values were positive but flattening, suggesting that upside strength was beginning to lose intensity.

Intraday dynamics on the four hour chart revealed stretched conditions. Stochastic oscillators pushed into the upper 70s, flashing overbought signals. Price stalled as sellers defended the 156.70–156.80 band, while immediate support was layered at 155.90 and 155.20. Volatility compressed into a narrowing corridor, often a precursor to breakout attempts, but the balance of flows suggested hesitation rather than conviction.

The weekly perspective provided broader context. Since the September 2025 through near 147.50, USD/JPY has carved a rising channel, with successive higher lows confirming the resilience of the bullish framework. Average True Range readings around 1.40 reflected controlled but directional swings. Fibonacci retracement mapping from the July 2025 peak at 160.25 to the September low at 147.50 highlighted key checkpoints: 38.2% at 152.40, 50% at 153.90, and 61.8% at 155.40. The 156.72 high sat just above this 61.8% marker, reinforcing its importance as a resistance zone where sellers were expected to regroup.

Sentiment at this juncture was shaped by the tension between short term overextension and longer term bullish conviction. Institutional flows appeared to fade near retracement resistance, while retail positioning remained cautious given the proximity to stretched oscillator readings. The ability of the pair to sustain above 155.90 was critical, as holding this level would preserve the bullish narrative and invite renewed buying interest.

Looking forward, continuation of the rally requires a clean break above 156.80, which would open the path toward 158.00 and eventually 160.25, aligning with prior swing highs. Conversely, a slip back below 155.90 would expose the pair to corrective pressure toward 155.20 and 153.90, levels that coincide with retracement support and medium term averages. Until a decisive breakout occurs, range bound trading between 155.90 and 156.80 is likely to dominate, offering tactical opportunities for short term traders while the broader uptrend remains intact.

In summary, USD/JPY’s climb to 156.72 on 26th December 2025 was not a clean breakout but rather a reaffirmation of overhead resistance. The interplay of moving averages, Fibonacci retracement, and momentum signals pointed to a market pausing at a critical juncture, with sellers defending supply and buyers awaiting confirmation for the next leg higher.

#fxopen #forex #forexanalysis

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check ...

 

[FXOpen Trader]

AUDUSD Technical Analysis – 22nd JAN, 2026
AUDUSD – Intraday dynamics on the four hour chart revealed stretched conditions

AUD/USD Technical Analysis – 22nd January 2026
On 22nd January 2026, AUD/USD advanced to a high of 0.6778, a level that underscored the strength of its ongoing recovery but simultaneously highlighted the presence of firm supply near the 0.6780 psychological zone. The candle structure was moderately extended with a pronounced upper wick, reflecting how buyers initially drove price higher but were met with resistance as sellers re entered to cap the advance. This rejection suggested that while the broader trend remained constructive, intraday enthusiasm was beginning to fade.

On the daily chart, the short term structure remained supportive, with the 20 day moving average positioned around 0.6745, cushioning the advance. The 50 day average, rising from 0.6690, reinforced medium term bullish momentum, while the 200 day average at 0.6560 confirmed the longer term uptrend. Momentum indicators hinted at caution: RSI readings hovered near 62, edging into overbought territory, while MACD values were positive but flattening, suggesting that upside strength was beginning to lose intensity.

Intraday dynamics on the four hour chart revealed stretched conditions. Stochastic oscillators pushed into the upper 70s, flashing overbought signals. Price stalled as sellers defended the 0.6775–0.6780 band, while immediate support was layered at 0.6745 and 0.6710. Volatility compressed into a narrowing corridor, often a precursor to breakout attempts, but the balance of flows suggested hesitation rather than conviction.

The weekly perspective provided broader context. Since the October 2025 trough near 0.6420, AUD/USD has carved a rising channel, with successive higher lows confirming the resilience of the bullish framework. Average True Range readings around 0.0060 reflected controlled but directional swings. Fibonacci retracement mapping from the July 2025 peak at 0.6895 to the October low at 0.6420 highlighted key checkpoints: 38.2% at 0.6605, 50% at 0.6655, and 61.8% at 0.6710. The 0.6778 high sat above this 61.8% marker, reinforcing its importance as a resistance zone where sellers were expected to regroup.

Sentiment at this juncture was shaped by the tension between short term overextension and longer term bullish conviction. Institutional flows appeared to fade near retracement resistance, while retail positioning remained cautious given the proximity to stretched oscillator readings. The ability of the pair to sustain above 0.6745 was critical, as holding this level would preserve the bullish narrative and invite renewed buying interest.

Looking forward, continuation of the rally requires a clean break above 0.6780, which would open the path toward 0.6840 and eventually 0.6895, aligning with prior swing highs. Conversely, a slip back below 0.6745 would expose the pair to corrective pressure toward 0.6710 and 0.6655, levels that coincide with retracement support and medium term averages. Until a decisive breakout occurs, range bound trading between 0.6745 and 0.6780 is likely to dominate, offering tactical opportunities for short term traders while the broader uptrend remains intact.

In summary, AUD/USD’s climb to 0.6778 on 22nd January 2026 was not a clean breakout but rather a reaffirmation of overhead resistance. The interplay of moving averages, Fibonacci retracement, and momentum signals pointed to a market pausing at a critical juncture, with sellers defending supply and buyers awaiting confirmation for the next leg higher.


#fxopen #forex #forexanalysis

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check ...

 

[FXOpen Trader]

EURCHF Technical Analysis – 22nd JAN, 2026
EURCHF – Looking forward, continuation of the rally requires a clean break above 0.9310

EUR/CHF Technical Analysis – 22nd January 2026
On 22nd January 2026, EUR/CHF advanced to a high of 0.9307, a level that underscored the pair’s short term recovery but simultaneously highlighted the presence of firm supply near the 0.9310 psychological zone. The candle structure was moderately extended with a pronounced upper wick, reflecting how buyers initially drove price higher but were met with resistance as sellers re entered to cap the advance. This rejection suggested that while momentum favoured the upside, enthusiasm was beginning to fade as the market approached overhead barriers.

On the daily chart, the short term structure remained supportive, with the 20 day moving average positioned around 0.9285, cushioning the advance. The 50 day average, sloping downward from 0.9350, reinforced medium term weakness, while the 200 day average at 0.9440 confirmed the longer term bearish bias. Momentum indicators hinted at caution: RSI readings hovered near 61, edging into overbought territory, while MACD values were marginally positive but flattening, suggesting that upside strength was beginning to lose intensity.

Intraday dynamics on the four hour chart revealed stretched conditions. Stochastic oscillators climbed into the upper 70s, flashing overbought signals. Price stalled as sellers defended the 0.9305–0.9310 band, while immediate support was layered at 0.9285 and 0.9250. Volatility compressed into a narrowing corridor, often a precursor to breakout attempts, but the balance of flows suggested hesitation rather than conviction.

The weekly perspective provided broader context. Since the mid 2025 peak near 0.9660, EUR/CHF has carved a descending sequence of lower highs and lower lows, underscoring the resilience of the bearish framework. Average True Range readings around 0.0060 reflected controlled but directional swings. Fibonacci retracement mapping from the November 2025 high at 0.9664 to the December low at 0.9271 highlighted key checkpoints: 38.2% at 0.9410, 50% at 0.9465, and 61.8% at 0.9520. The 0.9307 high sat well below these retracement markers, reinforcing its role as minor resistance within a broader downtrend.

Sentiment at this juncture was shaped by the tension between short term rebound attempts and longer term bearish conviction. Institutional flows appeared to fade near minor resistance, while retail positioning remained cautious given the proximity to stretched oscillator readings. The ability of the pair to sustain above 0.9285 was critical, as holding this level would preserve the corrective narrative and invite renewed buying interest.

Looking forward, continuation of the rally requires a clean break above 0.9310, which would open the path toward 0.9350 and eventually 0.9410, aligning with Fibonacci retracement checkpoints. Conversely, a slip back below 0.9285 would expose the pair to corrective pressure toward 0.9250 and 0.9210, levels that coincide with prior swing lows and medium term support. Until a decisive breakout occurs, range bound trading between 0.9285 and 0.9310 is likely to dominate, offering tactical opportunities for short term traders while the broader downtrend remains intact.

In summary, EUR/CHF’s climb to 0.9307 on 22nd January 2026 was not a clean breakout but rather a reaffirmation of overhead resistance. The interplay of moving averages, Fibonacci retracement, and momentum signals pointed to a market pausing at a critical juncture, with sellers defending supply and buyers awaiting confirmation for the next directional move.


#fxopen #forex #forexanalysis

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check ...

 

[FXOpen Trader]

EURJPY Technical Analysis – 22nd JAN, 2026
EURJPY – On the daily chart, the short term structure showed signs of resilience

EUR/JPY Technical Analysis – 22nd January 2026
On 22nd January 2026, EUR/JPY slipped to a low of 184.77, a level that defined the lower boundary of its short term corrective move. The candle structure was broad ranged with a pronounced lower wick, illustrating how sellers initially pressed momentum but were met with firm demand as the market approached the 184.70–184.80 psychological zone. This rejection suggested that bearish flows were losing traction, with buyers stepping in to absorb supply and stabilize the decline.

On the daily chart, the short term structure showed signs of resilience. The 20 day moving average hovered near 185.40, cushioning the downside and acting as immediate support. The 50 day average, positioned around 186.80, was sloping gently upward, reinforcing medium term bullish undertones. The 200 day average at 180.20 confirmed that the longer term framework remained constructive, with the broader trend still favouring buyers despite the corrective dip. Momentum readings reflected caution: RSI values hovered near 44, leaning toward neutral to bearish territory, while MACD lines were marginally negative but beginning to flatten, suggesting that downside strength was losing intensity.

Intraday dynamics on the four hour chart revealed stretched conditions. Stochastic oscillators dipped into the low 30s, flashing oversold signals. Price stalled as buyers defended the 184.70–184.80 band, while resistance was layered at 185.40 and 186.00. Volatility compressed into a narrowing corridor, often a precursor to breakout attempts, but the balance of flows suggested hesitation rather than conviction.

The weekly perspective provided broader context. Since the September 2025 trough near 174.50, EUR/JPY has carved a rising channel, with successive higher lows confirming the resilience of the bullish framework. Average True Range readings around 1.55 reflected controlled but directional swings. Fibonacci retracement mapping from the July 2025 peak at 189.40 to the September low at 174.50 highlighted key checkpoints: 38.2% at 180.20, 50% at 181.95, and 61.8% at 183.70. The 184.77 low sat just above this 61.8% marker, underscoring its importance as a support area where buyers were expected to regroup.

Sentiment at this juncture was shaped by the tension between short term corrective pressure and longer term bullish conviction. Institutional flows appeared to accumulate near retracement support, while retail positioning remained cautious given the proximity to stretched oscillator readings. The ability of the pair to sustain above 184.70 was critical, as holding this level would preserve the bullish narrative and invite renewed buying interest.

Looking forward, continuation of the recovery requires a clean break above 185.40, which would open the path toward 186.80 and eventually 189.40, aligning with prior swing highs. Conversely, a slip back below 184.70 would expose the pair to corrective pressure toward 183.70 and 181.95, levels that coincide with retracement support and medium term averages. Until a decisive breakout occurs, range bound trading between 184.70 and 185.40 is likely to dominate, offering tactical opportunities for short term traders while the broader uptrend remains intact.

In summary, EUR/JPY’s dip to 184.77 on 22nd January 2026 was less a breakdown and more a reaffirmation of structural support. The interplay of moving averages, Fibonacci retracement, and momentum signals pointed to a market pausing at a critical juncture, with buyers defending demand and sellers awaiting confirmation for the next directional move.

#fxopen #forex #forexanalysis

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check ...

 

[FXOpen Trader]

EURUSD Technical Analysis – 22nd JAN, 2026
EURUSD – Intraday dynamics on the four hour chart revealed stretched conditions.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis – 22nd January 2026
On 22nd January 2026, EUR/USD slipped to a low of 1.1670, a level that defined the lower boundary of its corrective move and highlighted the presence of defensive bids near the 1.1670 psychological threshold. The candle structure was broad ranged with a pronounced lower wick, illustrating how sellers initially pressed momentum but were met with firm demand as the market approached this zone. The rejection suggested that bearish flows were losing traction, with buyers stepping in to absorb supply and stabilize the decline.

On the daily chart, the short term structure showed signs of resilience. The 20 day moving average hovered near 1.1695, cushioning the downside and acting as immediate support. The 50 day average, positioned around 1.1740, was sloping gently upward, reinforcing medium term bullish undertones. The 200 day average at 1.1580 confirmed that the longer term framework remained constructive, with the broader trend still favouring buyers despite the corrective dip. Momentum readings reflected caution: RSI values hovered near 41, leaning toward neutral to bearish territory, while MACD lines were marginally negative but beginning to flatten, suggesting that downside strength was losing intensity.

Intraday dynamics on the four hour chart revealed stretched conditions. Stochastic oscillators dipped into the low 30s, flashing oversold signals. Price stalled as buyers defended the 1.1670–1.1675 band, while resistance was layered at 1.1695 and 1.1720. Volatility compressed into a narrowing corridor, often a precursor to breakout attempts, but the balance of flows suggested hesitation rather than conviction.

The weekly perspective provided broader context. Since the October 2025 through near 1.1450, EUR/USD has carved a rising channel, with successive higher lows confirming the resilience of the bullish framework. Average True Range readings around 0.0065 reflected controlled but directional swings. Fibonacci retracement mapping from the July 2025 peak at 1.1975 to the October low at 1.1450 highlighted key checkpoints: 38.2% at 1.1655, 50% at 1.1715, and 61.8% at 1.1775. The 1.1670 low aligned closely with the 38.2% retracement zone, underscoring its importance as a support area where buyers were expected to regroup.

Sentiment at this juncture was shaped by the tension between short term corrective pressure and longer term bullish conviction. Institutional flows appeared to accumulate near retracement support, while retail positioning remained cautious given the proximity to stretched oscillator readings. The ability of the pair to sustain above 1.1670 was critical, as holding this level would preserve the bullish narrative and invite renewed buying interest.

Looking forward, continuation of the recovery requires a clean break above 1.1720, which would open the path toward 1.1775 and eventually 1.1975, aligning with prior swing highs. Conversely, a slip back below 1.1670 would expose the pair to corrective pressure toward 1.1655 and 1.1600, levels that coincide with retracement support and medium term averages. Until a decisive breakout occurs, range bound trading between 1.1670 and 1.1720 is likely to dominate, offering tactical opportunities for short term traders while the broader uptrend remains intact.

In summary, EUR/USD’s dip to 1.1670 on 22nd January 2026 was less a breakdown and more a reaffirmation of structural support. The interplay of moving averages, Fibonacci retracement, and momentum signals pointed to a market pausing at a critical juncture, with buyers defending demand and sellers awaiting confirmation for the next directional move.

#fxopen #forex #forexanalysis

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check ...

 

[FXOpen Trader]

GBPJPY Technical Analysis – 22nd JAN, 2026
GBPJPY – Looking forward, continuation of the rally requires a clean break above 213.50

GBP/JPY Technical Analysis – 22nd January 2026
On 22nd January 2026, GBP/JPY surged to a high of 213.46, a level that underscored the strength of its ongoing bullish trajectory but simultaneously highlighted the presence of firm supply near the 213.50 psychological barrier. The candle structure was wide ranged with a pronounced upper wick, reflecting how buyers initially drove momentum but were met with resistance as sellers re entered to cap the advance. This rejection suggested that while the broader trend remained constructive, intraday enthusiasm was beginning to fade as the market approached overhead resistance.

On the daily chart, the short term structure remained supportive, with the 20 day moving average positioned around 212.60, cushioning the advance. The 50 day average, rising from 210.80, reinforced medium term bullish momentum, while the 200 day average at 206.20 confirmed the longer term uptrend. Momentum indicators hinted at caution: RSI readings hovered near 65, edging into overbought territory, while MACD values were positive but beginning to flatten, suggesting that upside strength was losing intensity.

Intraday dynamics on the four hour chart revealed stretched conditions. Stochastic oscillators climbed into the upper 70s, flashing overbought signals. Price stalled as sellers defended the 213.40–213.50 band, while immediate support was layered at 212.60 and 211.80. Volatility compressed into a narrowing corridor, often a precursor to breakout attempts, but the balance of flows suggested hesitation rather than conviction.

The weekly perspective provided broader context. Since the September 2025 trough near 198.50, GBP/JPY has carved a rising channel, with successive higher lows confirming the resilience of the bullish framework. Average True Range readings around 1.90 reflected controlled but directional swings. Fibonacci retracement mapping from the July 2025 peak at 216.80 to the September low at 198.50 highlighted key checkpoints: 38.2% at 205.50, 50% at 207.65, and 61.8% at 209.80. The 213.46 high sat well above these retracement markers, reinforcing its role as a decisive resistance zone where sellers were expected to regroup.

Sentiment at this juncture was shaped by the tension between short term overextension and longer term bullish conviction. Institutional flows appeared to fade near the 213.50 barrier, while retail positioning remained cautious given the proximity to stretched oscillator readings. The ability of the pair to sustain above 212.60 was critical, as holding this level would preserve the bullish narrative and invite renewed buying interest.

Looking forward, continuation of the rally requires a clean break above 213.50, which would open the path toward 215.20 and eventually 216.80, aligning with prior swing highs. Conversely, a slip back below 212.60 would expose the pair to corrective pressure toward 211.80 and 209.80, levels that coincide with retracement support and medium term averages. Until a decisive breakout occurs, range bound trading between 212.60 and 213.50 is likely to dominate, offering tactical opportunities for short term traders while the broader uptrend remains intact.

In summary, GBP/JPY’s climb to 213.46 on 22nd January 2026 was not a clean breakout but rather a reaffirmation of overhead resistance. The interplay of moving averages, Fibonacci retracement, and momentum signals pointed to a market pausing at a critical juncture, with sellers defending supply and buyers awaiting confirmation for the next leg higher.

#fxopen #forex #forexanalysis

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check ...

 

[FXOpen Trader]

GBPUSD Technical Analysis – 22nd JAN, 2026
GBPUSD – On the daily chart, the short term structure showed signs of resilience

GBP/USD Technical Analysis – 22nd January 2026
On 22nd January 2026, GBP/USD slipped to a low of 1.3399, a level that defined the lower boundary of its corrective move and highlighted the presence of defensive bids near the 1.3400 psychological threshold. The candle structure was broad ranged with a pronounced lower wick, illustrating how sellers initially pressed momentum but were met with firm demand as the market approached this zone. The rejection suggested that bearish flows were losing traction, with buyers stepping in to absorb supply and stabilize the decline.

On the daily chart, the short term structure showed signs of resilience. The 20 day moving average hovered near 1.3425, cushioning the downside and acting as immediate support. The 50 day average, positioned around 1.3480, was sloping gently upward, reinforcing medium term bullish undertones. The 200 day average at 1.3285 confirmed that the longer term framework remained constructive, with the broader trend still favouring buyers despite the corrective dip. Momentum readings reflected caution: RSI values hovered near 42, leaning toward neutral to bearish territory, while MACD lines were marginally negative but beginning to flatten, suggesting that downside strength was losing intensity.

Intraday dynamics on the four hour chart revealed stretched conditions. Stochastic oscillators dipped into the low 30s, flashing oversold signals. Price stalled as buyers defended the 1.3395–1.3400 band, while resistance was layered at 1.3425 and 1.3460. Volatility compressed into a narrowing corridor, often a precursor to breakout attempts, but the balance of flows suggested hesitation rather than conviction.

The weekly perspective provided broader context. Since the October 2025 trough near 1.3100, GBP/USD has carved a rising channel, with successive higher lows confirming the resilience of the bullish framework. Average True Range readings around 0.0090 reflected controlled but directional swings. Fibonacci retracement mapping from the July 2025 peak at 1.3750 to the October low at 1.3100 highlighted key checkpoints: 38.2% at 1.3345, 50% at 1.3425, and 61.8% at 1.3505. The 1.3399 low aligned closely with the 38.2%–50% retracement zone, underscoring its importance as a support area where buyers were expected to regroup.

Sentiment at this juncture was shaped by the tension between short term corrective pressure and longer term bullish conviction. Institutional flows appeared to accumulate near retracement support, while retail positioning remained cautious given the proximity to stretched oscillator readings. The ability of the pair to sustain above 1.3395 was critical, as holding this level would preserve the bullish narrative and invite renewed buying interest.

Looking forward, continuation of the recovery requires a clean break above 1.3460, which would open the path toward 1.3505 and eventually 1.3750, aligning with prior swing highs. Conversely, a slip back below 1.3395 would expose the pair to corrective pressure toward 1.3345 and 1.3285, levels that coincide with retracement support and medium term averages. Until a decisive breakout occurs, range bound trading between 1.3395 and 1.3460 is likely to dominate, offering tactical opportunities for short term traders while the broader uptrend remains intact.

In summary, GBP/USD’s dip to 1.3399 on 22nd January 2026 was less a breakdown and more a reaffirmation of structural support. The interplay of moving averages, Fibonacci retracement, and momentum signals pointed to a market pausing at a critical juncture, with buyers defending demand and sellers awaiting confirmation for the next directional move.

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Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

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[FXOpen Trader]

NZDUSD Technical Analysis – 22nd JAN, 2026
NZDUSD – On the daily chart, the short term structure showed signs of resilience

NZD/USD Technical Analysis – 22nd January 2026
On 22nd January 2026, NZD/USD slipped to a low of 0.5831, a level that defined the lower boundary of its corrective move and highlighted the presence of defensive bids near the 0.5830 psychological threshold. The candle structure was broad ranged with a pronounced lower wick, illustrating how sellers initially pressed momentum but were met with firm demand as the market approached this zone. The rejection suggested that bearish flows were losing traction, with buyers stepping in to absorb supply and stabilize the decline.

On the daily chart, the short term structure showed signs of resilience. The 20 day moving average hovered near 0.5850, cushioning the downside and acting as immediate support. The 50 day average, positioned around 0.5785, was sloping gently upward, reinforcing medium term bullish undertones. The 200 day average at 0.5630 confirmed that the longer term framework remained constructive, with the broader trend still favouring buyers despite the corrective dip. Momentum readings reflected caution: RSI values hovered near 43, leaning toward neutral to bearish territory, while MACD lines were marginally negative but beginning to flatten, suggesting that downside strength was losing intensity.

Intraday dynamics on the four hour chart revealed stretched conditions. Stochastic oscillators dipped into the low 30s, flashing oversold signals. Price stalled as buyers defended the 0.5830–0.5835 band, while resistance was layered at 0.5850 and 0.5880. Volatility compressed into a narrowing corridor, often a precursor to breakout attempts, but the balance of flows suggested hesitation rather than conviction.

The weekly perspective provided broader context. Since the October 2025 through near 0.5520, NZD/USD has carved a rising channel, with successive higher lows confirming the resilience of the bullish framework. Average True Range readings around 0.0058 reflected controlled but directional swings. Fibonacci retracement mapping from the July 2025 peak at 0.6050 to the October low at 0.5520 highlighted key checkpoints: 38.2% at 0.5725, 50% at 0.5785, and 61.8% at 0.5845. The 0.5831 low aligned closely with the 50%–61.8% retracement zone, underscoring its importance as a support area where buyers were expected to regroup.

Sentiment at this juncture was shaped by the tension between short term corrective pressure and longer term bullish conviction. Institutional flows appeared to accumulate near retracement support, while retail positioning remained cautious given the proximity to stretched oscillator readings. The ability of the pair to sustain above 0.5830 was critical, as holding this level would preserve the bullish narrative and invite renewed buying interest.

Looking forward, continuation of the recovery requires a clean break above 0.5880, which would open the path toward 0.5950 and eventually 0.6050, aligning with prior swing highs. Conversely, a slip back below 0.5830 would expose the pair to corrective pressure toward 0.5785 and 0.5725, levels that coincide with retracement support and medium term averages. Until a decisive breakout occurs, range bound trading between 0.5830 and 0.5880 is likely to dominate, offering tactical opportunities for short term traders while the broader uptrend remains intact.

In summary, NZD/USD’s dip to 0.5831 on 22nd January 2026 was less a breakdown and more a reaffirmation of structural support. The interplay of moving averages, Fibonacci retracement, and momentum signals pointed to a market pausing at a critical juncture, with buyers defending demand and sellers awaiting confirmation for the next directional move.

#fxopen #forex #forexanalysis

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

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[FXOpen Trader]

USDCAD Technical Analysis – 22nd JAN, 2026
USDCAD – On the daily chart, the short term structure remained supportive

USD/CAD Technical Analysis – 22nd January 2026
On 22nd January 2026, USD/CAD advanced to a high of 1.3843, a level that underscored the strength of its ongoing bullish trajectory but simultaneously highlighted the presence of firm supply near the 1.3850 psychological barrier. The candle structure was wide ranged with a pronounced upper wick, reflecting how buyers initially drove momentum but were met with resistance as sellers re entered to cap the advance. This rejection suggested that while the broader trend remained constructive, intraday enthusiasm was beginning to fade as the market approached overhead resistance.

On the daily chart, the short term structure remained supportive, with the 20 day moving average positioned around 1.3785, cushioning the advance. The 50 day average, rising from 1.3705, reinforced medium term bullish momentum, while the 200 day average at 1.3575 confirmed the longer term uptrend. Momentum indicators hinted at caution: RSI readings hovered near 66, edging into overbought territory, while MACD values were positive but beginning to flatten, suggesting that upside strength was losing intensity.

Intraday dynamics on the four hour chart revealed stretched conditions. Stochastic oscillators climbed into the upper 70s, flashing overbought signals. Price stalled as sellers defended the 1.3840–1.3850 band, while immediate support was layered at 1.3785 and 1.3740. Volatility compressed into a narrowing corridor, often a precursor to breakout attempts, but the balance of flows suggested hesitation rather than conviction.

The weekly perspective provided broader context. Since the October 2025 trough near 1.3350, USD/CAD has carved a rising channel, with successive higher lows confirming the resilience of the bullish framework. Average True Range readings around 0.0075 reflected controlled but directional swings. Fibonacci retracement mapping from the July 2025 peak at 1.3860 to the October low at 1.3350 highlighted key checkpoints: 38.2% at 1.3545, 50% at 1.3605, and 61.8% at 1.3665. The 1.3843 high sat just beneath the July peak, reinforcing its importance as a decisive resistance zone where sellers were expected to regroup.

Sentiment at this juncture was shaped by the tension between short term overextension and longer term bullish conviction. Institutional flows appeared to fade near the 1.3850 barrier, while retail positioning remained cautious given the proximity to stretched oscillator readings. The ability of the pair to sustain above 1.3785 was critical, as holding this level would preserve the bullish narrative and invite renewed buying interest.

Looking forward, continuation of the rally requires a clean break above 1.3850, which would open the path toward 1.3860 and eventually 1.3950, aligning with prior swing highs. Conversely, a slip back below 1.3785 would expose the pair to corrective pressure toward 1.3740 and 1.3665, levels that coincide with retracement support and medium term averages. Until a decisive breakout occurs, range bound trading between 1.3785 and 1.3850 is likely to dominate, offering tactical opportunities for short term traders while the broader uptrend remains intact.

In summary, USD/CAD’s climb to 1.3843 on 22nd January 2026 was not a clean breakout but rather a reaffirmation of overhead resistance. The interplay of moving averages, Fibonacci retracement, and momentum signals pointed to a market pausing at a critical juncture, with sellers defending supply and buyers awaiting confirmation for the next leg higher.

#fxopen #forex #forexanalysis

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check ...