• Attention Forex Brokers, FX Companies & Hedge Funds.

    forum.forex is available for Acquisition

    Enquire

I have positive expectancy in both directions and don't know what to do.

PhysicsBKK

New member
Hello all,
I trade multiple strategies o the European and London Opening times. One strategy is a breakout and one is a reversal strategy situated on the highs and lows of the Asian range. I've devised my own market structure guide to root out losers and have developed it to be profitable. In one particular market scenario it is profitable to trade both the reversal (0.5exp) and the breakout strategy (0.66exp). What should I do? Trade both? Trade neither? Pick and choose? This is live and the uncertanity of what to do is frustrating me. This scenraio is not common and happens typically once every few months.
Thanks in advance
 
In rare scenarios like this, where both your breakout and reversal setups statistically show positive expectancy, you have a few options — but it depends on your risk tolerance and clarity of confirmation.

If both strategies are independently profitable and you've backtested this dual-signal scenario, then trading both with reduced size can spread the risk while allowing you to stay active. If you're unsure or emotionally conflicted, sometimes the best decision is to step back and preserve capital rather than overcommit.

I trade with Valetax, and they always suggest aligning live decisions with their backtested data and mental readiness. Consistency matters more than catching every opportunity.
 
Back
Top Bottom