Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex

[RoboForex Team]

Nonfarm Payrolls sent the dollar sharply lower: gold is surging towards 4,200 USD

Gold continues to strengthen after the release of US employment data. XAUUSD quotes are testing the 4,180 USD level.

XAUUSD forecast: key takeaways

• Nonfarm Payrolls: previously at 129 thousand, currently at 57 thousand
• The US unemployment rate fell from 4.3% to 4.2%
• The likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the July meeting dropped to 18%

Fundamental analysis

The XAUUSD price forecast for today, 3 July 2026, shows that gold continues its confident recovery, testing the 4,180 USD mark. The rally began following the release of weak US labour market data, which radically changed expectations for the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy.

On Thursday, the US June Nonfarm Payrolls report was published and became a real shock to the market. The previous reading was 129 thousand, the forecast stood at 114 thousand, and the actual figure stunned the market by coming in at 57 thousand.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[RoboForex Team]

USDJPY above 162.00: the market is awaiting action from the Bank of Japan

The yen is losing ground once again, and the Japanese government is preparing for intervention. The USDJPY rate currently stands at 162.20.

USDJPY forecast: key takeaways

• The threat of intervention from the Japanese government remains
• Investors are awaiting the release of the latest Federal Reserve meeting minutes
• USDJPY forecast for 6 July 2026: 161.80 and 163.00

Fundamental analysis

Fundamental analysis for 6 July 2026 shows that the pair is forming an upward wave towards the highs of 1986. On Monday morning, quotes are trading around 162.20, with the yen remaining under pressure despite the recent tightening of the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy.

The pair’s approach to the 162.00–163.00 levels has fuelled expectations that Japan’s Ministry of Finance may re-enter the market to support the yen.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team