Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex

[RoboForex Team]

US Tech forecast: the index enters a downtrend

The US Tech index has fallen 12% from its all-time high and continues to decline. The US Tech forecast for next week is negative.

US Tech forecast: key takeaways

• Recent data: the US Federal Reserve kept the interest rate at 3.75%
• Market impact: the current data is negative for the technology sector

Fundamental analysis

The Federal Reserve’s decision to hold interest rates steady within the 3.50–3.75% range is moderately favourable for the US Tech index, as the regulator did not raise borrowing costs further. However, the accompanying statements by the Fed chairman significantly weaken the positive effect of keeping the rate unchanged.

This is particularly important for the US Tech index. A significant share of its market capitalisation consists of companies whose valuations depend on expectations of high future profits.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[RoboForex Team]

Bitcoin awaits the week’s key trigger

Easing tensions in the Middle East provided temporary support for BTCUSD, with the price currently hovering at 62,620.

BTCUSD forecast: key takeaways

• Investors have begun to return to riskier asset classes
• Public companies continue to increase their Bitcoin reserves
• Improving global risk appetite is supporting the cryptocurrency market

Fundamental analysis

Today, Bitcoin is trading near 62,620 USD, remaining under pressure after failing to consolidate above the 63,550 USD resistance level. Sellers retain the initiative, while the market has shifted into wait-and-see mode ahead of new macroeconomic drivers.

Following the US president’s statement that he was prepared to continue diplomatic contacts with Iran, investors began to return to riskier asset classes. Reduced concerns about further escalation of the conflict dampened demand for safe-haven instruments and supported the cryptocurrency market, including Bitcoin.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[RoboForex Team]

US 500 forecast: index approaches upper channel boundary

The US 500 index is testing the resistance level again. A breakout could resume the uptrend. The US 500 forecast for today is positive.

US 500 forecast: key takeaways

• Recent data: the US Federal Reserve held its interest rate steady at 3.75%
• Market impact: the data is moderately positive for the stock market

Fundamental analysis

The Federal Reserve’s decision to keep the interest rate within the 3.50–3.75% range was not a surprise to the market. However, the statement and the Federal Reserve chairman’s comments were far more important than the decision to leave the rate unchanged.

For the US 500 index, the news is primarily negative in the short term. Initially, keeping the rate unchanged could have been viewed positively, as the regulator refrained from immediately raising borrowing costs further.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[RoboForex Team]

US 30 forecast: the index reaches a new all-time high

The US 30 index rose by more than 5% and hit a new all-time high. The US 30 forecast for today is positive.

US 30 forecast: key takeaways

• Recent data: the US Federal Reserve kept its interest rate unchanged at 3.75%
• Market impact: the data is moderately positive for the stock market

Fundamental analysis

The Federal Reserve’s decision to keep the target range for the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% was formally in line with market expectations. However, the statement and the comments from the Fed leadership are more important than the fact that the rate was left unchanged.

For the US 30 index, the news is primarily a restraining factor. Keeping the rate unchanged could have supported the market, as companies and investors did not face an immediate further increase in financing costs.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[RoboForex Team]

Solana may become scarce as developers prepare a major update

After its decline, the Solana price is developing a new upward wave in anticipation of updates, currently trading at 73.60.

SOLUSD forecast: key takeaways

• The validator community is still debating the SGP-0003 package
• Developers continue to prepare the Alpenglow update for release
• SOLUSD forecast for 6 August 2026: 76.75 or 72.90

Fundamental analysis

The validator community is still debating the SGP-0003 package, which includes the SIMD-0550 and SIMD-0553 proposals. If adopted, the network could significantly increase the daily burn of SOL through a new fee while also slowing the issuance of new coins more rapidly. In the longer term, this may become a factor putting pressure on the amount of tokens in circulation.

The SOLUSD forecast for 6 August 2026 takes into account that institutional investor interest in the ecosystem remains strong. Following the recent launch of tokenised money market funds and the more active use of the network for stablecoin settlements, Solana is becoming increasingly established as infrastructure for traditional finance, rather than only for DeFi and NFTs.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team