Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex

[RoboForex Team]

XAUUSD faces a key signal: dovish Fed rhetoric or another blow to gold

Gold continues to correct in anticipation of signals from the Federal Reserve, with prices currently at 4,575 USD.

XAUUSD forecast: key takeaways

• The core PCE for July rose to 3.7%
• The market estimates the likelihood of a rate hike in September at around 34%
• XAUUSD forecast for 28 August 2026: 4,720 and 4,550

Fundamental analysis

The XAUUSD price forecast for today, 28 August 2026, shows that gold continues its corrective wave after reaching its highest levels in more than three months and is testing 4,575 USD.

Today, markets are awaiting Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh’s speech at Jackson Hole. Following recent signals from Fed officials about persistent inflation risks.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

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Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

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The RoboForex Team

 

[RoboForex Team]

USDJPY attracts buyers again as expectations weigh on the yen

The USDJPY pair has pulled back to 159.84 after another rise. Since the latest intervention, the yen has lost half of its gains.

USDJPY forecast: key takeaways

• The USDJPY pair remains strong and is poised for further gains, but after a correction
• The market is responding to comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh
• USDJPY forecast for 31 August 2026: 159.34 or 160.23

Fundamental analysis

The USDJPY rate is correcting after another rise and is trading around 159.84 on Monday. The Japanese yen remains near its monthly lows, pressured by hawkish comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh, which strengthened expectations of a US rate hike in September.

The market currently estimates the likelihood of a 25-basis-point Federal Reserve rate hike next month at roughly 57%, up from 40% a week ago.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[RoboForex Team]

US 500 on the threshold of September: high oil prices, risks, and rates

The US 500 declined but avoided a sharp drop. September is historically considered a challenging month for markets.

US 500 forecast: key takeaways

• The US 500 index edged lower but has not yet come under broad pressure
• September is historically considered a challenging month for capital markets
• US 500 forecast for 1 September 2026: 7,674 or 7,721.5

Fundamental analysis

The US 500 index fell to 7,694 points on Tuesday, marking a weak start to the week.

Sentiment is being weighed down by another rise in oil prices amid escalating conflict in the Middle East. Higher energy prices have fuelled inflation concerns and increased expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike in September, pushing up US Treasury yields.

Read this article on RoboForex website - US 500 Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[RoboForex Team]

US 30 at a crossroads: the Fed weighs on stocks as NFP is set to deliver another surprise

The US 30 forecast for today is unfavourable for the index, which continues to lose ground amid rising US bond yields. The US 30 is currently trading at 52,695.0.

US 30 forecast: key takeaways

• The 10-year US Treasury yield is creating additional competition for equities
• A renewed escalation of the conflict between the US and Iran is increasing risks
• The main event of the week will be the NFP report due on 4 September

Fundamental analysis

The US 30 fundamental analysis for today, 2 September 2026, takes into account that after the decline, quotes continue their upward trajectory and are testing the 52,740.0 level.

Following hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve chairman, the market significantly increased the likelihood of a September rate hike.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[RoboForex Team]

Solana (SOLUSD) poised for gains as market momentum improves

The Solana (SOLUSD) price is hovering around 100.2, with the market supported by a solid fundamental backdrop.

SOLUSD forecast: key takeaways

• Solana (SOLUSD) appears stronger, ending August higher
• Investors can rely on a stable fundamental backdrop
• SOLUSD forecast for 3 September 2026: 107.0

Fundamental analysis

The Solana price stands at 100.2. The fundamental backdrop for Solana (SOLUSD) looks considerably stronger. One of the key factors remains high activity within the ecosystem: Solana-based decentralised exchanges have ranked second only to Binance in weekly spot trading volume for nine consecutive weeks.

This shows that the network maintains a high level of real-world usage and liquidity. Market attention is gradually shifting from simple SOL price movement towards the economic activity generated by the ecosystem itself through trading.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[RoboForex Team]

XAUUSD consolidates near local highs ahead of employment data release

XAUUSD has moved into a technical correction after a two-day rally, with prices currently standing at 4,463 USD.

XAUUSD forecast: key takeaways

• Sustained demand from global central banks and uncertainty in the Middle East continue to provide long-term support for prices
• Expectations of a hawkish Federal Reserve stance have eased, putting pressure on the US dollar and increasing the appeal of the safe-haven precious metal
• XAUUSD forecast for 4 September 2026: 4,695

Fundamental analysis

XAUUSD quotes have entered a correction phase after rallying for two consecutive trading sessions. During this period, gold gained more than 2% and consolidated above the 4,400 USD resistance level. In the long term, XAUUSD remains supported by sustained demand from global central banks and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty in the Middle East.

Comments from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller were a key driver of the rally. He said he could support keeping interest rates unchanged in September if upcoming data confirms easing inflationary pressures.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[RoboForex Team]

DE 40 shifts into a downtrend during the correction

The DE 40 resumed its decline after reaching a new all-time high. The index may continue to fall amid a negative fundamental backdrop.

DE 40 forecast: key takeaways

• The DE 40 index has continued to decline since the end of last week
• The CPI rose by 0.2% in August, while the market expected a 0.3% increase, compared to a 0.8% rise in July
• DE 40 forecast for 7 September 2026: 25,800 or 26,630

Fundamental analysis

The DE 40 index entered a downtrend after a correction reversed the previous trend. The German index may move into a short-term sideways channel.

Germany’s consumer inflation data for August 2026 provides a mixed but moderately positive signal for the DE 40 index.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[RoboForex Team]

US 500: focus on oil and the future path of Fed rates

The US 500 returned after the weekend with a moderate decline near 7,711. The market is closely watching oil price movements.

US 500 forecast: key takeaways

• The US 500 index may continue to rise, although sentiment after the long weekend does not look particularly strong
• The likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate hike next week is estimated at around 60%
• US 500 forecast for 8 September 2026: 7,777

Fundamental analysis

The US 500 index is declining moderately on Tuesday after the long holiday weekend. High oil prices remain in focus, supporting inflation risks and fuelling concerns about the future path of interest rates.

Oil prices are rising after the US and Iran exchanged strikes over the weekend. Trade risks have added to pressure, with Canada’s retaliatory tariffs on approximately 20 billion USD worth of US goods taking effect on Tuesday.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team