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United Kingdom Core CPI y/y January 19 2022

JamesThatcher

Well-known member
United Kingdom Core CPI yy January 19 2022.png


What does the data mean to the market?

The UK's most important inflation data, it's the leading central bank's inflation target. Recently the BOE has sighted this data as particularly important, so I think we should see a reaction from it.


Historic deviations and their outcome

February 17 2021 Feb 2021, +0.2 on both lines gave a small pop up, but nothing too exciting


Check out the price action here:

January 20 2021 Jan 2021, after the Brexit deal, a +0.1 deviation did manage to get a slight market reaction.


Check out the price action here:




I will use forecasts of:

CPI - Core (Y/Y) 3.9
CPI (M/M) 0.3
CPI (Y/Y) 5.2



Today's trade plan

If we get a deviation from both lines of 0.3 on either

Core CPI Y/Y (Year on Year) or
CPI Y/Y line.

With no conflicts on any other line.



Tradable pairs

EURGBP
GBPUSD


Hope this helps but please do your own analysis!!

Good luck!!

James Thatcher

Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.
 
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