United States Federal Funds Rate May 4 2022

JamesThatcher

Well-known member
United States Federal Funds Rate May 4 2022.png

What does the data mean to the market?

Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members vote on where to set the rate. Traders watch interest rate changes closely as short term interest rates are the primary factor in currency valuation.

A higher than expected rate is positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected rate is negative/bearish for the USD.


Historic deviations and their outcome




I will use forecasts of:

FOMC Interest Rate Decision - Max 0.75



Today's trade plan


Today is a very rare occasion when there are varying forcasts of a change. I am using the forcast of 0.75% actual, therefore I wil take a take if the hike to 1.00% or leave the rates unchanged at 0.50%


Tradable pairs

EURUSD
GBPUSD
USDJPY


Hope this helps but please do your own analysis!!

Good luck!!

James Thatcher

Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.
 
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