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USDJPY Technical Analysis – 17th DEC, 2025 – LONDON SESSION
USDJPY - The yen’s strength is being driven by safe-haven demand and speculation around BOJ policy adjustments
USDJPY – Technical Analysis (17 Dec 2025)
Price Action Overview:
On December 17th, USDJPY fell to a low of 154.38, marking a notable bearish correction after failing to sustain momentum above the 155.20 zone earlier in the week. The daily candlestick displayed a bearish body with a long lower shadow, reflecting strong selling pressure but also some buyer defense near the lows. This price action highlights the importance of the 154.30–154.50 support zone as a critical pivot level.
Momentum Indicators
• Relative Strength Index (RSI): Dropped to around 39, signalling bearish momentum and approaching oversold territory.
• MACD: Lines remain negative, with the histogram expanding downward, confirming accelerating bearish bias.
• Stochastic Oscillator: Fell below 30, reinforcing oversold conditions and hinting at potential short-term rebound attempts.
Moving Averages
• 20-day EMA: Turned downward, reflecting short-term bearish momentum.
• 50-day SMA: Positioned near 155.20, now acting as overhead resistance.
• The alignment of shorter-term averages below longer-term ones confirms corrective pressure within the broader structure.
Volatility & Volume
• Bollinger Bands: Widened during the decline, indicating heightened volatility.
• Volume: Spiked as the pair touched 154.38, validating strong selling interest and suggesting active participation from bears.
Support & Resistance Levels
• Immediate Support: 154.30. A breakdown below this level could expose 154.00 and deeper toward 153.50.
• Immediate Resistance: 155.20. A rebound above this level would ease bearish pressure and open the path toward 156.00.
Multi-Timeframe Analysis
• Daily Chart: Shows a strong bearish candle testing support, with indecision around whether buyers can defend the level.
• Weekly Chart: Indicates reversal from recent highs, with price compressing into a corrective phase.
• Monthly Chart: Still reflects a broader bullish trend, but the current decline is a significant correction within that structure.
Fundamental Overlay
The yen’s strength is being driven by safe-haven demand and speculation around BOJ policy adjustments. Meanwhile, USD sentiment is capped by softer yields and dovish Federal Reserve expectations. This fundamental backdrop aligns with the technical bearish bias.
Future Trend Outlook
• Bearish Scenario: A decisive break below 154.30 would confirm continuation of the downtrend, targeting 154.00 and 153.50 in the short term.
• Bullish Scenario: If buyers defend 154.30 and push above 155.20, a rebound toward 156.00 could unfold.
• Neutral Scenario: Consolidation between 154.30–155.20 until new macroeconomic catalysts provide direction.
Expert View
USDJPY’s drop to 154.38 underscores bearish dominance but also highlights the importance of support near 154.30. The pair is oversold on multiple indicators, raising the possibility of a short-term rebound. However, unless price reclaims 155.20, the broader bias remains bearish. Traders should closely monitor BOJ commentary and US economic data releases, as these will likely dictate the next breakout direction.
#fxopen #forex #forexanalysis
Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.
For in-depth analysis, please check ...
USDJPY - The yen’s strength is being driven by safe-haven demand and speculation around BOJ policy adjustments
USDJPY – Technical Analysis (17 Dec 2025)
Price Action Overview:
On December 17th, USDJPY fell to a low of 154.38, marking a notable bearish correction after failing to sustain momentum above the 155.20 zone earlier in the week. The daily candlestick displayed a bearish body with a long lower shadow, reflecting strong selling pressure but also some buyer defense near the lows. This price action highlights the importance of the 154.30–154.50 support zone as a critical pivot level.
Momentum Indicators
• Relative Strength Index (RSI): Dropped to around 39, signalling bearish momentum and approaching oversold territory.
• MACD: Lines remain negative, with the histogram expanding downward, confirming accelerating bearish bias.
• Stochastic Oscillator: Fell below 30, reinforcing oversold conditions and hinting at potential short-term rebound attempts.
Moving Averages
• 20-day EMA: Turned downward, reflecting short-term bearish momentum.
• 50-day SMA: Positioned near 155.20, now acting as overhead resistance.
• The alignment of shorter-term averages below longer-term ones confirms corrective pressure within the broader structure.
Volatility & Volume
• Bollinger Bands: Widened during the decline, indicating heightened volatility.
• Volume: Spiked as the pair touched 154.38, validating strong selling interest and suggesting active participation from bears.
Support & Resistance Levels
• Immediate Support: 154.30. A breakdown below this level could expose 154.00 and deeper toward 153.50.
• Immediate Resistance: 155.20. A rebound above this level would ease bearish pressure and open the path toward 156.00.
Multi-Timeframe Analysis
• Daily Chart: Shows a strong bearish candle testing support, with indecision around whether buyers can defend the level.
• Weekly Chart: Indicates reversal from recent highs, with price compressing into a corrective phase.
• Monthly Chart: Still reflects a broader bullish trend, but the current decline is a significant correction within that structure.
Fundamental Overlay
The yen’s strength is being driven by safe-haven demand and speculation around BOJ policy adjustments. Meanwhile, USD sentiment is capped by softer yields and dovish Federal Reserve expectations. This fundamental backdrop aligns with the technical bearish bias.
Future Trend Outlook
• Bearish Scenario: A decisive break below 154.30 would confirm continuation of the downtrend, targeting 154.00 and 153.50 in the short term.
• Bullish Scenario: If buyers defend 154.30 and push above 155.20, a rebound toward 156.00 could unfold.
• Neutral Scenario: Consolidation between 154.30–155.20 until new macroeconomic catalysts provide direction.
Expert View
USDJPY’s drop to 154.38 underscores bearish dominance but also highlights the importance of support near 154.30. The pair is oversold on multiple indicators, raising the possibility of a short-term rebound. However, unless price reclaims 155.20, the broader bias remains bearish. Traders should closely monitor BOJ commentary and US economic data releases, as these will likely dictate the next breakout direction.
#fxopen #forex #forexanalysis
Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.
For in-depth analysis, please check ...