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Daily Market Forecast By Capitalcore

Nasdaq 100 market analysis on inflation and resistance

Nasdaq ND100 (Nasdaq 100 Index), also known as the NDX or US Tech 100, is a leading US equity benchmark representing major non-financial companies, heavily weighted toward technology and growth stocks. In today’s Nasdaq 100 fundamental analysis, market participants are closely monitoring US inflation and macroeconomic signals through Producer Price Index (PPI), Core PPI, and Factory Orders, alongside EIA crude oil inventories, which influence inflation expectations. Elevated PPI readings could reinforce a hawkish Federal Reserve stance ahead of the upcoming FOMC rate decision, statement, and press conference, supporting the US dollar while potentially pressuring high-growth equities like the Nasdaq 100. Meanwhile, stronger Factory Orders may indicate resilient economic activity, providing underlying support to equities. Overall, the Nasdaq 100 daily chart outlook remains sensitive to inflation trends, Fed policy expectations, and broader risk sentiment, making today’s macro backdrop critical for Nasdaq 100 price action analysis.
D100_NASDAQ100_Analysis-and-outlook_on_03.18.2026-.webp

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.

From a Nasdaq 100 H4 technical analysis perspective, price action shows a recovery phase after bouncing from the lower Bollinger Band, moving through the mid band, and recently approaching the upper band—indicating improving short-term bullish momentum. Despite this, the market remains range-bound within the Fibonacci 0.0 to 0.5 levels, with price reclaiming the 0.236 Fib (around 25072) and now targeting the 0.382 Fib (25364), with potential extension toward the 0.5 Fib (25600)—a key resistance zone that has capped upside for the past month. On the downside, strong support remains around 24500–24600, where the 0 Fib level aligns with the lower Bollinger Band, reinforcing this as a critical demand zone. The MACD (51.46, 45.78, -5.67) reflects strengthening bullish momentum, though not yet in a strong expansion phase, while the Bollinger Band Width (0.03) signals low volatility and a potential breakout setup. Overall, the Nasdaq 100 H4 chart outlook remains cautiously bullish above 25072, with upside targets at 25364 and 25600, while consolidation remains likely unless driven by a strong fundamental catalyst.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore
 
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