June-06, 2022, Daily Currency trading analysis and forex market forecast, by forex forum.
The EUR/GBP slashes Friday’s gains on Monday and aims towards the 0.8500 mark after reaching a daily high near 0.8590s, though retracing on a buoyant market mood as global equities record gains. At the time of writing, the EUR/GBP is trading at 0.8530, losing 0.47%.
EUR/GBP Price Forecast: Technical outlook
The EUR/GBP remains upward biased, despite Monday’s retracement. However, the cross-currency would face solid resistance at around 0.8600, a level last traded on May 12, which sparked a correction towards highs of 0.8390s, before resuming the uptrend towards 0.8590s. EUR/GBP traders need to be aware that volatility shrank, and the EUR/GBP formed a bullish flag, which would open the door for further gains. Nevertheless, the cross would consolidate in the 0.8500-0.8600 area before aiming toward fresh YTD highs above 0.8700.
On the other hand, In the major of EUR/USD, the pair still holds some bullish potential, largely rooted from last week’s bounce of support at prior resistance. This is taken from a zone running from 1.0593-1.0638 and that area caught a bounce on Wednesday that held into the end of the week. That bounce found lower-high resistance in the same zone that caught the prior high, plotted from around 1.0767-1.0787.
While this could carry some bullish potential, there may be more amenable areas for that elsewhere which I’ll look at after our next chart. But, on this setup, the area of focus is that support zone running from 1.0593-1.0638. If sellers can punch through that, then the door re-opens for bearish scenarios in the pair, looking for a return to the 1.0500 psychological level.
The dollar advanced modestly on Monday as a boost in risk appetite sent U.S. equities higher and kept gains on the safe haven in check ahead of a key reading on inflation later in the week.
After touching a near twenty-year high of 105.01 on May 13, the dollar has eased back to around the 102 level, although Friday's strong payrolls report helped the dollar notch its first weekly gain in three.
The dollar index rose 0.098% at 102.190, with the euro down 0.12% to $1.0706 ahead of a European Central Bank (ECB) policy meeting later this week.
The Japanese yen weakened 0.35% versus the greenback at 131.32 per dollar, while Sterling was last trading at $1.2547, up 0.47% on the day.
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The GBP/USD pair broke resistance at 1.2491 which turned into strong support yesterday. This level coincides with 23.6% of Fibonacci retracement which is expected to act as major support today.
Equally important, the RSI is still signaling that the trend is upward, while the moving average (100) is headed to the upside. Accordingly, the bullish outlook remains the same as long as the EMA 100 is pointing to the uptrend.
This suggests that the pair will probably go above the daily pivot point (1.2524) in the coming hours. The GBP/USD pair will demonstrate strength following a breakout of the high at 1.2524.
Elsewhere, USDCAD is wanting again towards unchanged on the day
The USDCAD has transfer again towards unchanged on the day. The value on Friday closed at 1.25854. The excessive worth simply reached 1.25848. The present worth is buying and selling at 1.25765.
The pair initially moved to the draw back, however discovered help close to an previous trendline after reaching a brand new low going again to April 21. The North American session has seen a bounce to the upside of the final 3-4 hours. The excessive worth for the day was within the Asian session at a pleasant spherical variety of 1.2600.
Getting again into constructive territory for the day and above the 1.2600 stage would have merchants wanting towards the falling 100 hour shifting common 1.26104. Recall from final Thursday, the value moved as much as check that shifting common line solely to search out sellers close to the extent and a rotation again to the draw back. Because of this, the shifting common’s significance has elevated. Getting above it could be a step within the bullish path.
The NZDUSD is trading lower on the day after a run higher stalled.
The move back to the downside saw the pair fall back below the 100/200 hour MAs at 0.6511 and 0.6515. The breaking back below has also seen momentum below a rising trend line at 0.6499 and a swing area down to 0.64908.
The current price is at 0.6488. Close risk is around 0.6500. For traders who want to give more room, staying below the 200 and 100 hour MAs would be the risk. Stay below is more bearish. Move above is more bullish.
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