Currency Pairs Market Analysis

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GBPUSD - The pair may fall.
If the assumption is correct, the GBP/USD pair will fall to the levels of 1.1750–1.1550. In this scenario, critical stop loss level is 1.2412.

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The EURJPY repeats the negative closings
The EURJPY pair repeated the negative closings below 144.25 recorded high, which forms strong obstacle against the attempt to resume the bullish attack for now, which allows us to keep the correctional bearish overview for the near term and medium term period.

The above chart shows stochastic continuous negative waves, to increase the chances of gathering the negative momentum, to keep waiting to touch the negative stations at 142.20 followed by reaching 140.90.

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The expected trading range for today is between 143.70 and 142.20​
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The USDCHF pair reached few pips away from our waited target at 0.9525, and continues to move inside the intraday bearish channel that appears on the chart, which supports the chances of surpassing the mentioned level and open the way to achieve negative targets that extend to 0.9400.

Therefore, we will continue to suggest the bearish trend for the upcoming period unless breaching 0.9630 and hold above it.

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The expected trading range for today is between 0.9500 support and 0.9600 resistance.​
 
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The EURJPY settles below the high​

No change to the EURJPY pair’s correctional bearish track, fluctuating below 144.25 recorded high, to notice crawling towards 142.80 to reinforce the chances of resuming the previously suggested correctional bearish attack.

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We remind you that breaking the initial support at 142.20 will force it to suffer more losses that reach 140.90 followed by 140. The expected trading range for today is between 143.70 and 142.20​
 
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NZDUSD, H4
On the four-hour chart, under the resistance level of 0.6312, there is the formation of the Three Black Crows candlestick analysis pattern, which is a downtrend continuation pattern, as well as the Evening Star pattern, which formed at the level of 0.6252 after a short-term upward correction. The combination of these patterns indicates systematic pressure from sellers. A likely scenario is a decrease in the asset to the support level of 0.6122, overcoming which will become a catalyst for the movement of quotes to the zone of 0.5933–0.5621; however, there is a risk that the "bulls" will withstand the blow and, if the price rebounds from the level of 0.6122, the asset may reverse and head to the resistance range of 0.6312–0.6870.

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NZDUSD, D1
On the daily chart, a Descending Triangle price pattern is forming, the exit from which can be carried out downwards, which is confirmed by falling highs and a horizontal support level. In addition, there is the formation of Falling Three Methods patterns, signaling the continuation of the downtrend. If the price consolidates below the support level of 0.6122, the "bears" will be able to increase pressure up to the level of 0.5621.

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Support levels: 0.6122, 0.5933, 0.5621 | Resistance levels: 0.6312, 0.6563, 0.687​
 
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EURUSD - market uncertainty remains​

The European currency started the new week with a local decline, as investors still cannot fully appreciate the impact of Friday's data on consumer prices on the long-term exchange rate. According to the June report, the indicator added 0.8%, thereby ensuring the growth of the annual inflation rate to a record 8.6%, which exceeded the analysts' forecast, which suggested an increase to 8.4%. The core consumer price index, which excludes fuel and food prices, rose 3.7%, down from 3.8% a month earlier, suggesting that the European Central bank (ECB) cannot solve the energy market situation. Today, several regulator officials will comment on further plans to reduce inflation, and investors expect to hear about possible new measures that will allow them to determine the direction of future transactions.

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The trading instrument is moving within the global downward channel, clamping within the Triangle pattern. Technical indicators maintain a global sell signal: indicator Alligator's fast EMA oscillation range expands downwards, and the AO oscillator histogram has formed another downward bar, being in the sell zone.

Resistance levels: 1.0585, 1.0775 | Support levels: 1.0366, 1.02​
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The NZDUSD pair managed to achieve our extended target at 0.6150, and bounced bullishly to breach 0.6210 that forms key resistance now, as it keeps its stability below it until now, to support the continuation of the expected negative scenario on the intraday and short term basis, waiting to get negative motive that assist to push the price to surpass 0.6150 and head towards 0.6100 as a next target.

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Therefore, the bearish trend scenario will remain valid unless breaching 0.6210 followed by 0.6280 levels and holding above them. The expected trading range for today is between 0.6150 support and 0.6250 resistance.

The expected trend for today: Bearish.​
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The NZDUSD pair provided positive trades yesterday but it stopped at the EMA50 that formed good resistance against the price, to decline again and test 0.6210 level, waiting for more bearish bias to head towards our next main target at 0.6100. Therefore, we will continue to suggest the bearish trend conditioned by the price stability below 0.6270. The expected trading range for today is between 0.6150 support and 0.6250 resistance.

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The expected trend for today: Bearish.​
 
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The EURUSD pair resumes its negative trades to surpass 1.0250 level and settles below it, reinforcing the expectations of continuing the bearish trend for the rest of the day, reminding you that our next main target is located at 1.0100, while holding below 1.0355 represents key condition to continue the suggested decline. The expected trading range for today is between 1.0170 support and 1.0320 resistance.

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The expected trend for today: Bearish.​
 
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The NZDUSD resumes the decline.

The NZDUSD pair found solid support at 0.6120, to show some bullish bias now, affected by stochastic positivity, waiting to get negative motive that assist to push the price to decline again and head towards our next main target at 0.6100. In general, we will continue to suggest the bearish trend for the upcoming period unless breaching 0.6265 and holding above it. The expected trading range for today is between 0.6100 support and 0.6200 resistance

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The expected trend for today: Bearish​
 
The CPI data from the US today resulted in an expected pump on DXY. I have no idea why they keep thinking they have it under control. What was perhaps less expected is the subsequent larger drop in DXY. If it carries on this way we are looking at some structure breaks perhaps.
 
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EURUSD - the pair is preparing to consolidate below the historical low

Conflicting macroeconomic statistics from the EU do not allow the euro to interrupt the protracted decline: inflation in Germany in June was 7.6%, which is the same as in May, and CPI in France rose not as much as analysts expected but still amounted to 5.8%, up from 5.2% in May, while the same figure for Spain reached a record high of 10.2%, up sharply from 8.7% in May. With such a significant increase in local values, the composite price index of the EU countries will also increase significantly, preventing a possible reversal and growth of the euro.

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The trading instrument moves within the global downward channel, near the support line. Technical indicators maintain a global sell signal: fast EMAs on the Alligator indicator expand the range of fluctuations in the direction of decline, and the AO oscillator histogram forms downward bars in the sell zone.

Resistance levels: 1.015, 1.037 | Support levels: 0.998, 0.98​
 
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