• Attention Forex Brokers, FX Companies & Hedge Funds.

    forum.forex is available for Acquisition

    Enquire

Daily Market Forecast By Capitalcore

Forex NZDUSD live chart update and outlook

The New Zealand Dollar vs US Dollar (NZD/USD), often referred to by its forex nickname "Kiwi," is a widely traded major currency pair in the global forex market. The Kiwi is known for its sensitivity to risk sentiment, commodity prices—especially dairy—and monetary policy announcements from both the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) and the Federal Reserve (Fed). Today’s forex market sentiment for NZD-USD is shaped by high-impact testimonies from central bank leaders on both sides. RBNZ Governor Anna Breman is set to testify on the 2025 Annual Review, and given that it’s her first major speech since taking office in December, traders will be scrutinizing her tone for any hawkish signals—particularly after recent dairy trade strength. On the US side, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman’s congressional testimony is likely to draw focus, especially if she hints at continued tightening amid consumer confidence and auto sales data also releasing today. If the Fed takes a more hawkish stance while RBNZ remains cautious, USD may gain further strength. However, if both show hawkish tones, volatility could spike as traders reassess the interest rate outlook for both economies.
H4_NZDUSD_Forex_NZD_USD_live_chart_update_and_outlook_12_02_2025.jpg

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.

The NZD/USD H4 chart shows the price action currently moving above the Ichimoku green cloud, indicating a medium-term bullish bias. The conversion line (Tenkan-sen) remains above the last candle, suggesting potential short-term pressure or consolidation. Notably, the last four candles are red, hinting at a local correction after reaching near the 0.786 Fibonacci level (0.57525), which is acting as strong resistance. Despite this pullback, the broader trend is still bearish, and the price is fluctuating within a key retracement zone between the 0.786 and 0.618 Fib levels (0.57525–0.57158), a typical area for reversal or continuation setups. The %R(14) indicator reads -55.77, reflecting a neutral to mild bearish momentum—neither oversold nor overbought—suggesting room for further downside before any strong reversal is expected. Price action traders may look for confirmation around the 0.5715 support zone to gauge next moves.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore
 
GBPUSD Fundamental Analysis and Forecast Today

The GBP/USD forex pair, also known as "Cable," reflects the value of the British Pound against the US Dollar, making it one of the most widely traded currency pairs globally. Due to its high liquidity and volatility, it remains a favorite among forex traders. Today, market participants will closely monitor the upcoming UK Services PMI and statements from BOE MPC Member Catherine Mann, which may provide crucial insights into the UK's economic health and monetary policy stance. Positive PMI data or hawkish statements from the BOE could potentially strengthen the GBP, whereas robust economic indicators such as the US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI and employment data releases from the US side could support the USD, leading to significant price movements and volatility in GBP/USD.
PUSD-Fundamental-and-Technical-Forecast.12.03.2025.webp

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.

Analyzing the GBP/USD H4 chart, we see that recently the market has transitioned into a bullish trajectory. Given the current bullish momentum, we might anticipate a continuation of this upward trend. Presently, the candles have initiated a mild bearish correction and are hovering near the Fibonacci retracement level of 0.236. If this correction continues, a likely support is the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level at approximately 1.3168; however, considering the latest green candles, the current level could mark the end of the correction, resuming a bullish move towards the rectangular resistance zone around 1.3300 to 1.3350, where prices previously encountered selling pressure. The 9-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is positioned slightly above the recent candles, touching the latest candle, suggesting short-term indecision. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 51.45 indicates neutral momentum, while the Williams %R at -62.85 signifies mild bearish pressure, hinting that caution is advised for immediate bullish positions.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore
 
AUD USD Approaches Critical Bollinger Band Resistance

AUD/USD, also known as the "Aussie," is a prominent forex pair representing the Australian Dollar against the US Dollar, popular among traders for its liquidity and responsiveness to commodity prices and economic data. Today, traders should closely monitor key economic indicators: Australia's Balance of Trade and Monthly Household Spending Indicator (MHSI), as well as US Jobless Claims, Job Cut Announcements, and Natural Gas Inventories. Positive Australian trade and spending data could strengthen AUD, while better-than-expected US employment figures would bolster USD, influencing the pair’s volatility significantly. Additionally, market participants should pay attention to Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman's speech, as any hawkish indications could further support USD.
AUDUSD Fundamental and Technical Forecast.12.04.2025.jpg

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.

Analyzing the AUD/USD H4 chart, previously the chart was moving along a steady bullish trend; however, recent price action has begun showing signs of consolidation, trading along the Bollinger Bands (60). Currently, the bands have expanded, suggesting potential increased volatility. Given that the price is approaching a critical resistance zone around 0.6607, which aligns with previous highs, the pair could experience selling pressure. If resistance holds and candles retreat, a move toward the middle Bollinger Band at 0.65112 is plausible. Indicators such as Williams %R at -0.62 and the Stochastic oscillator at 99.38, 97.46 indicate overbought conditions, reinforcing the likelihood of a corrective pullback.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore
 
Back
Top Bottom