High-Impact Economic Calendar – September 22, 2025




Forecast: -0.1% | Previous: 0.7%


A shift back into contraction suggests producer costs are easing, potentially relieving inflationary pressures downstream.


Forecast: 3.4% | Previous: 2.6%


Rising annual producer prices indicate inflationary momentum may be returning. Sustained pressure here could complicate BoC’s policy stance.


Forecast: 50.4 | Previous: 55.5


A sharp slowdown toward the 50 threshold signals weaker overall activity, raising concerns about momentum in both manufacturing and services.


Forecast: 51.0 | Previous: 55.8


The services sector cooling sharply reflects fading demand. A reading near 50 would pressure AUD as growth risks rise.


Forecast: 52.7 | Previous: 53.0


Manufacturing resilience stands out, though still weaker than earlier months. A stable result cushions downside risks for AUD.

Geopolitical Watch: Conflicts, Protests, and Sanctions Shaping Market Sentiment
In the Americas, Venezuela launched large-scale military drills with Russian jets and naval forces in defiance of U.S. warships in the Caribbean. Moving east, Europe saw France rocked by mass anti-austerity strikes while the EU pushed a 19th sanctions package on Russia, potentially targeting LNG. In the Middle East, Israel struck Hezbollah sites in southern Lebanon, testing the fragile ceasefire. Across the Eastern Mediterranean, Turkey warned Cyprus over new Israeli-made air-defense systems as it prepared for a Sept. 23 UNGA meeting with Greece on Aegean disputes. In the Pacific, Australia and Papua New Guinea signed a defence communique after a treaty stalled, with Canberra calling it its first new alliance in 70 years as Beijing closely monitors developments.
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